How well do you know the polls in Poland?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 80 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did KO win at Poland's 2011 election?
39.2%. See the page
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2At Poland's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.9 points per party, over 12 final polls. See the page
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3How many seats does our forecast give PiS in the Sejm in Poland?
132 in our projection. See the page
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4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2015 election?
37.6%. See the page
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5Who leads the polls in Poland?
KO on 33.2% in our average, ahead of PiS on 22.5%. See the page
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6In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Lewica clears 5%”?
78%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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7How many seats does our forecast give KO in the Sejm in Poland?
191 in our projection, 40 short of a majority. See the page
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8In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority in both chambers”?
7%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2023 election?
35.4%. See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls closest to the result?
2015: 0.5 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.