How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 78 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Labor win at Australia's 2025 election?
34.6%. See the page
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2Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2013 election?
CDU/CSU with 41.5%, ahead of SPD on 25.7%. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2023 election?
PiS with 35.4%, ahead of KO on 30.7%. See the page
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4In the Netherlands, what chance does our forecast give for “PVV largest”?
11%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5Which party has gained most in the polls since Spain's last election (23 July 2023)?
Vox: 12.4% then, 19.0% in our average now (+6.6 points). See the page
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6How many seats does our forecast give AfD in the Bundestag in Germany?
197 in our projection, 119 short of a majority. See the page
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7At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.5 points out per party on average. See the page
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8At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
VVD: 12.0% in the final polls, 14.2% on the day. See the page
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9At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls furthest out?
2004: 2.0 points out per party on average. See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were Spain's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.0 point out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.