How well do you know the polls in Spain?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 78 for 4 November 2026.
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1At which election since 2000 were Spain's final polls furthest out?
2004: 5.0 points out per party on average. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PP win at Spain's 2015 election?
28.3%. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2016 election?
PP with 32.6%, ahead of PSOE on 22.6%. See the page
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4At which election since 2000 were Spain's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.0 point out per party on average. See the page
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5At Spain's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.5 points per party, over 22 final polls. See the page
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6At Spain's 2023 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
PSOE: 28.3% in the final polls, 31.7% on the day. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PP win at Spain's 2023 election?
33.1%. See the page
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8In Spain, what chance does our forecast give for “Podemos wins a seat”?
69%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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9Which party has lost most support since Spain's last election (23 July 2023)?
Sumar: 12.3% then, 6.4% in our average now (−5.9 points). See the page
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10To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PSOE win at Spain's April 2019 election?
28.7%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.