How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 79 for 4 November 2026.
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1Which party has lost most support since Germany's last election (23 February 2025)?
CDU/CSU: 28.5% then, 20.5% in our average now (−8.0 points). See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2016 election?
42.0%. See the page
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3At Canada's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
NDP: 8.5% in the final polls, 6.3% on the day. See the page
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4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did KO win at Poland's 2011 election?
39.2%. See the page
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5At the United States' 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 34 final polls. See the page
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6At Australia's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.0 points per party, over 10 final polls. See the page
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7At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
M5S: 13.5% in the final polls, 15.4% on the day. See the page
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8At Spain's 2023 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PP: 34.1% in the final polls, 33.1% on the day. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at France's 2007 election?
LR with 31.2%, ahead of PS on 25.9%. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2025 election?
Liberal with 43.8%, ahead of Conservative on 41.3%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.