How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 72 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?
37.7%. See the page
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2At Poland's 2023 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PiS: 36.8% in the final polls, 35.4% on the day. See the page
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3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Lab win at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?
34.7%. See the page
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4At France's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.0 point per party, over 7 final polls. See the page
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5At which election since 2000 were Germany's final polls furthest out?
2005: 2.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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6At the United States' 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 34 final polls. See the page
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7At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
VVD: 12.0% in the final polls, 14.2% on the day. See the page
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8At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls furthest out?
2013: 5.6 points out per party on average. See the page
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9Which pollster's final polls have been closest to the result in Germany?
Wahlkreisprognose: 0.8 points out per party on average over 2 elections, the best of 4. See the page
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10In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Majority in both chambers”?
60%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.