How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 65 for 4 November 2026.
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1Which party has lost most support since Germany's last election (23 February 2025)?
CDU/CSU: 28.5% then, 20.5% in our average now (−8.0 points). See the page
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2At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
M5S: 13.5% in the final polls, 15.4% on the day. See the page
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3At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls closest to the result?
2000: 0.4 points out per party on average. See the page
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4How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in Canada?
73 in our projection. See the page
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5In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Majority for any one party”?
46%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2022 election?
35.7%. See the page
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7How many seats does our forecast give KO in the Sejm in Poland?
191 in our projection, 40 short of a majority. See the page
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8At Germany's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Greens: 13.0% in the final polls, 11.6% on the day. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at France's 2017 election?
Ensemble with 24.0%, ahead of RN on 21.3%. See the page
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10Who leads the polls in Spain?
PP on 31.0% in our average, ahead of PSOE on 27.1%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.