How well do you know the polls in Spain?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 65 for 4 November 2026.
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1At Spain's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.5 points per party, over 22 final polls. See the page
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2Which party has lost most support since Spain's last election (23 July 2023)?
Sumar: 12.3% then, 6.4% in our average now (−5.9 points). See the page
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3Who leads the polls in Spain?
PP on 31.0% in our average, ahead of PSOE on 27.1%. See the page
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4In Spain, what chance does our forecast give for “Podemos wins a seat”?
69%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5How many seats does our forecast give PSOE in the Congreso de los Diputados in Spain?
112 in our projection. See the page
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6Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2023 election?
PP with 33.1%, ahead of PSOE on 31.7%. See the page
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7How many seats does our forecast give PP in the Congreso de los Diputados in Spain?
132 in our projection, 44 short of a majority. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2016 election?
PP with 32.6%, ahead of PSOE on 22.6%. See the page
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9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PP win at Spain's 2023 election?
33.1%. See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were Spain's final polls furthest out?
2004: 5.0 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.