How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 64 for 4 November 2026.
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1Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2019 election?
Conservative with 34.3%, ahead of Liberal on 33.1%. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?
37.7%. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2019 election?
PiS with 43.6%, ahead of KO on 27.4%. See the page
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4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PP win at Spain's 2023 election?
33.1%. See the page
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5In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Majority for any one party”?
46%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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6Who leads the polls in Germany?
AfD on 27.4% in our average, ahead of CDU/CSU on 20.5%. See the page
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7How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in Canada?
73 in our projection. See the page
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8In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority”?
7%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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9Which party has lost most support since Germany's last election (23 February 2025)?
CDU/CSU: 28.5% then, 20.5% in our average now (−8.0 points). See the page
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10How many seats does our forecast give Left (NFP and other left) in the Assemblée nationale in France?
282 in our projection, 7 short of a majority. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.