How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 50 for 4 November 2026.
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1Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2019 election?
PiS with 43.6%, ahead of KO on 27.4%. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did VVD win at the Netherlands' 2017 election?
21.3%. See the page
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3At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Con: 21.1% in the final polls, 24.4% on the day. See the page
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4In France, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
Philippe: down 1.2 points, now 14.3%. See the page
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5At Canada's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Conservative: 38.9% in the final polls, 41.3% on the day. See the page
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6Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2023 election?
PP with 33.1%, ahead of PSOE on 31.7%. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Republican win at the United States' 2024 election?
49.8%. See the page
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8At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.2 points per party, over 20 final polls. See the page
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9In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Hung parliament”?
97%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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10How many seats does our forecast give PSOE in the Congreso de los Diputados in Spain?
112 in our projection. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.