How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 51 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2013 election?
25.6%. See the page
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2In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Coalition + One Nation 76+”?
60%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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3How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in Canada?
73 in our projection. See the page
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4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2019 election?
41.4%. See the page
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5At which election since 2000 were the United States' final polls furthest out?
2016: 2.8 points out per party on average. See the page
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6In Spain, what chance does our forecast give for “Podemos wins a seat”?
69%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at France's 2022 election?
Ensemble with 27.9%, ahead of RN on 23.2%. See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give KO in the Sejm in Poland?
191 in our projection, 40 short of a majority. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2015 election?
PiS with 37.6%, ahead of KO on 31.7%. See the page
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10Who leads the polls in Germany?
AfD on 27.4% in our average, ahead of CDU/CSU on 20.5%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.