How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 36 for 4 November 2026.
-
1At which election since 2000 were Spain's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.0 point out per party on average. See the page
-
2In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Centre-left majority”?
60%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
-
3At Spain's 2023 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
PSOE: 28.3% in the final polls, 31.7% on the day. See the page
-
4Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2025 election?
CDU/CSU with 28.5%, ahead of AfD on 20.8%. See the page
-
5Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?
Con with 37.7%, ahead of Lab on 31.2%. See the page
-
6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did CDU/CSU win at Germany's 2013 election?
41.5%. See the page
-
7At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PRO: 15.4% in the final polls, 12.8% on the day. See the page
-
8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Lab win at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?
34.7%. See the page
-
9How many seats does our forecast give PRO in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
28 in our projection, 48 short of a majority. See the page
-
10How many seats does our forecast give Liberal in the House of Commons in Canada?
235 in our projection, a majority (172 needed). See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.