How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 25 for 3 November 2026.
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1At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lab: 38.9% in the final polls, 34.7% on the day. See the page
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2Who leads the polls in the Netherlands?
PRO on 18.8% in our average, ahead of PVV on 12.6%. See the page
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3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?
43.4%. See the page
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4At which election since 2000 were the United States' final polls furthest out?
2016: 2.8 points out per party on average. See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2019 election?
41.4%. See the page
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6Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2013 election?
M5S with 25.6%, ahead of PD on 25.4%. See the page
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7Who leads the polls in Poland?
KO on 33.2% in our average, ahead of PiS on 22.5%. See the page
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8In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Hung parliament”?
97%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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9How many seats does our forecast give KO in the Sejm in Poland?
191 in our projection, 40 short of a majority. See the page
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10At France's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.0 point per party, over 7 final polls. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.