How well do you know the polls in Poland?

1. 1In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Right-wing majority”?

   51% 66% 76% 91%

2. 2At Poland's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 2.0 points 4.0 points 6.0 points

3. 3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2015 election?

   30% 34% 38% 42%

4. 4Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2023 election?

   Lewica PiS TD KO

5. 5How many seats does our forecast give PiS in the Sejm in Poland?

   100 116 132 164

6. 6In Poland, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?

   Lewica PiS KO Konfederacja

7. 7Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2015 election?

   KO TD PiS Lewica

8. 8At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls closest to the result?

   2015 2019 2023 2007

9. 9In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority in both chambers”?

   7% 22% 32% 47%

10. 10At Poland's 2023 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

    PiS TD Lewica KO

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.