How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 20 for 3 November 2026.
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1At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls furthest out?
2005: 4.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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2At Australia's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Coalition: 34.2% in the final polls, 31.8% on the day. See the page
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3At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls closest to the result?
2016: 0.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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4How many seats does our forecast give PP in the Congreso de los Diputados in Spain?
132 in our projection, 44 short of a majority. See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did VVD win at the Netherlands' 2017 election?
21.3%. See the page
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6In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority in both chambers”?
7%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2025 election?
D66 with 16.9%, ahead of PVV on 16.7%. See the page
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8Which party has gained most in the polls since Italy's last election (25 September 2022)?
AVS: 3.6% then, 6.3% in our average now (+2.6 points). See the page
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9Which party has lost most support since Germany's last election (23 February 2025)?
CDU/CSU: 28.5% then, 20.5% in our average now (−8.0 points). See the page
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10How many seats does our forecast give Liberal in the House of Commons in Canada?
235 in our projection, a majority (172 needed). See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.