How well do you know the polls in the UK?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 34 for 4 November 2026.
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1In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Hung parliament”?
54%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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2Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?
Con with 43.4%, ahead of Lab on 41.0%. See the page
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3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Lab win at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?
34.7%. See the page
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4How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?
153 in our projection. See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?
37.7%. See the page
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6At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Con: 21.1% in the final polls, 24.4% on the day. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?
Lab with 34.7%, ahead of Con on 24.4%. See the page
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8In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Labour majority”?
45%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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9At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls furthest out?
2010: 2.9 points out per party on average. See the page
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10How many seats does our forecast give Labour in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?
326 in our projection, a majority (326 needed). See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.