How well do you know the polls in the Netherlands?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 10 for 3 November 2026.
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1How many seats does our forecast give PVV in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
20 in our projection. See the page
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2How many seats does our forecast give PRO in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
28 in our projection, 48 short of a majority. See the page
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3Which party has gained most in the polls since the Netherlands' last election (29 October 2025)?
PRO: 12.8% then, 18.8% in our average now (+6.0 points). See the page
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4Which party has lost most support since the Netherlands' last election (29 October 2025)?
D66: 16.9% then, 10.1% in our average now (−6.9 points). See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did D66 win at the Netherlands' 2025 election?
16.9%. See the page
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6At the Netherlands' 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 3 final polls. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did VVD win at the Netherlands' 2021 election?
21.9%. See the page
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8At which election since 2000 were the Netherlands' final polls furthest out?
2002: 2.4 points out per party on average. See the page
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9Who leads the polls in the Netherlands?
PRO on 18.8% in our average, ahead of PVV on 12.6%. See the page
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10At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PRO: 15.4% in the final polls, 12.8% on the day. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.