How well do you know the polls in France?

1. 1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Ensemble win at France's 2022 election?

   20% 24% 28% 36%

2. 2At France's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   0.5 points 1.0 point 1.5 points 2.0 points

3. 3In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen wins”?

   53% 68% 78% 93%

4. 4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Ensemble win at France's 2017 election?

   16% 24% 28% 32%

5. 5In France, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?

   Mélenchon Philippe Glucksmann Le Pen

6. 6Which party won the most votes at France's 2007 election?

   PS LR Centre RN

7. 7In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen v Mélenchon in round two”?

   32% 47% 72% 97%

8. 8Which party won the most votes at France's 2017 election?

   LFI Ensemble RN LR

9. 9At France's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   RN + allies Left (NFP) LR Ensemble

10. 10To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PS win at France's 2012 election?

    25% 29% 33% 37%

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.