How well do you know the polls in the Netherlands?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 86 for 4 November 2026.
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1Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2023 election?
PVV with 23.5%, ahead of PRO on 15.7%. See the page
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2In the Netherlands, what chance does our forecast give for “PVV largest”?
11%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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3How many seats does our forecast give PRO in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
28 in our projection, 48 short of a majority. See the page
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4At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PRO: 15.4% in the final polls, 12.8% on the day. See the page
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5Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2021 election?
VVD with 21.9%, ahead of D66 on 15.0%. See the page
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6At the Netherlands' 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 3 final polls. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did VVD win at the Netherlands' 2021 election?
21.9%. See the page
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8At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
VVD: 12.0% in the final polls, 14.2% on the day. See the page
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9How many seats does our forecast give PVV in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
20 in our projection. See the page
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10Who leads the polls in the Netherlands?
PRO on 18.8% in our average, ahead of PVV on 12.6%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.