How well do you know the polls in Germany?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 48 for 4 November 2026.
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1In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens”?
97%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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2At which election since 2000 were Germany's final polls closest to the result?
2021: 0.7 points out per party on average. See the page
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3At Germany's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Greens: 13.0% in the final polls, 11.6% on the day. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2021 election?
SPD with 25.7%, ahead of CDU/CSU on 24.1%. See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did CDU/CSU win at Germany's 2013 election?
41.5%. See the page
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6Who leads the polls in Germany?
AfD on 27.4% in our average, ahead of CDU/CSU on 20.5%. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2017 election?
CDU/CSU with 32.9%, ahead of SPD on 20.5%. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2013 election?
CDU/CSU with 41.5%, ahead of SPD on 25.7%. See the page
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9At which election since 2000 were Germany's final polls furthest out?
2005: 2.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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10Which party has lost most support since Germany's last election (23 February 2025)?
CDU/CSU: 28.5% then, 20.5% in our average now (−8.0 points). See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.