How well do you know the polls in Germany?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 5 for 3 November 2026.
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1In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens majority”?
97%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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2Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2025 election?
CDU/CSU with 28.5%, ahead of AfD on 20.8%. See the page
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3How many seats does our forecast give CDU/CSU in the Bundestag in Germany?
148 in our projection. See the page
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4Which party has gained most in the polls since Germany's last election (23 February 2025)?
AfD: 20.8% then, 27.6% in our average now (+6.8 points). See the page
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5At which election since 2000 were Germany's final polls furthest out?
2005: 2.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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6Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2017 election?
CDU/CSU with 32.9%, ahead of SPD on 20.5%. See the page
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7Who leads the polls in Germany?
AfD on 27.6% in our average, ahead of CDU/CSU on 20.6%. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2013 election?
CDU/CSU with 41.5%, ahead of SPD on 25.7%. See the page
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9At Germany's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Greens: 13.0% in the final polls, 11.6% on the day. See the page
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10In Germany, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
SPD: down 1.6 points, now 13.6%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.