How well do you know the polls in Australia?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 8 for 3 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2016 election?
42.0%. See the page
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2How many seats does our forecast give Labor in the House of Representatives in Australia?
55 in our projection. See the page
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3At Australia's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.0 points per party, over 10 final polls. See the page
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4In Australia, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
Coalition: up 1.2 points, now 22.9%. See the page
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5Which party has lost most support since Australia's last election?
Coalition: 31.8% then, 22.9% in our average now (−8.9 points). See the page
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6In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Coalition + One Nation 76+”?
57%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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7At Australia's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Labor: 31.9% in the final polls, 34.6% on the day. See the page
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8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2022 election?
35.7%. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2025 election?
Labor with 34.6%, ahead of Coalition on 31.8%. See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls furthest out?
2010: 2.7 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.