How well do you know the polls in Australia?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 9 for 3 November 2026.
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1At Australia's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.0 points per party, over 10 final polls. See the page
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2Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2025 election?
Labor with 34.6%, ahead of Coalition on 31.8%. See the page
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3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Labor win at Australia's 2025 election?
34.6%. See the page
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4At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls furthest out?
2010: 2.7 points out per party on average. See the page
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5At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls closest to the result?
2016: 0.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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6Which party has gained most in the polls since Australia's last election?
One Nation: 6.4% then, 26.0% in our average now (+19.6 points). See the page
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7How many seats does our forecast give One Nation in the House of Representatives in Australia?
63 in our projection, 13 short of a majority. See the page
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8In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Hung parliament”?
97%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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9At Australia's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Coalition: 34.2% in the final polls, 31.8% on the day. See the page
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10Which party has lost most support since Australia's last election?
Coalition: 31.8% then, 22.9% in our average now (−8.9 points). See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.