How well do you know the polls in Poland?

1. 1In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Lewica clears 5%”?

   38% 53% 63% 78%

2. 2At Poland's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 2.0 points 4.0 points 6.0 points

3. 3In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority”?

   7% 22% 32% 47%

4. 4In Poland, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?

   Konfederacja PiS Lewica KKP

5. 5Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2011 election?

   KO PiS Lewica TD

6. 6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2023 election?

   27% 31% 35% 39%

7. 7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did KO win at Poland's 2011 election?

   35% 39% 43% 47%

8. 8At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls closest to the result?

   2007 2019 2015 2011

9. 9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2019 election?

   40% 44% 48% 52%

10. 10How many seats does our forecast give KO in the Sejm in Poland?

    145 168 191 214

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.