How well do you know the polls in Australia?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 16 for 3 November 2026.
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1How many seats does our forecast give Labor in the House of Representatives in Australia?
55 in our projection. See the page
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2At Australia's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Labor: 31.9% in the final polls, 34.6% on the day. See the page
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3How many seats does our forecast give One Nation in the House of Representatives in Australia?
63 in our projection, 13 short of a majority. See the page
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4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2022 election?
35.7%. See the page
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5At Australia's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Coalition: 34.2% in the final polls, 31.8% on the day. See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls furthest out?
2010: 2.7 points out per party on average. See the page
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7Who leads the polls in Australia?
Labor on 26.6% in our average, ahead of One Nation on 26.0%. See the page
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8Which party has lost most support since Australia's last election?
Coalition: 31.8% then, 22.9% in our average now (−8.9 points). See the page
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9In Australia, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
Coalition: up 1.2 points, now 22.9%. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2025 election?
Labor with 34.6%, ahead of Coalition on 31.8%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.