Lubawa (rural): Konfederacja would now come first, ahead of PiS
Lubawa (rural) (Warmińsko-mazurskie) has 8,024 voters. Below: how it voted at the Sejm election of October 2023, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. The next local elections are in spring 2029.
- 8,024voters
- 34.2%Konfederacja on today's polls (Poland: 22.8%)
- 47.6%PiS, first at the Sejm election of October 2023
Today's polls here, against the Sejm election of October 2023
- Konfederacja 12.8% → 34.2%
- PiS 47.6% → 29.6%
- KO 15.1% → 17.9%
- Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 17.1% → 6.3%
- Lewica 4.4% → 6.2%
- Rozwój Plus 0.0% → 5.1%
- Others 3.1% → 0.8%
Pale bar: the Sejm election of October 2023; solid: today's national polls carried down to Lubawa (rural) (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every gmina adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Poland forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every gmina
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 2,494 gminy with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About Lubawa (rural)
Lubawa (rural) has 8,024 voters, the 35th largest of 116 in Warmińsko-mazurskie and 865th of 2,494 across Poland.
At the Sejm election of October 2023 it voted PiS 47.6%, Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 17.1%, KO 15.1%. KO did 15 points worse here than across Poland.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has Konfederacja on 34.2% and PiS on 29.6%.
Gminy of a similar size in Warmińsko-mazurskie
- Bartoszyce (rural)7,885 voters · KO first
- Biała Piska (rural)8,171 voters · PiS first
- Nowe Miasto Lubawskie7,680 voters · KO first
- Orneta (rural)8,485 voters · KO first
- Lubawa7,333 voters · KO first
- Ełk (rural)8,845 voters · KO first
- Działdowo (rural)7,243 voters · PiS first
- Susz (rural)8,926 voters · KO first
Every gmina in Warmińsko-mazurskie → · All of Poland →
Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza: Sejm election of 15 October 2023, list votes by gmina.