Grunwald (rural): PiS would still come first on today's polls
Grunwald (rural) (Warmińsko-mazurskie) has 4,016 voters. Below: how it voted at the Sejm election of October 2023, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. The next local elections are in spring 2029.
- 4,016voters
- 27.4%PiS on today's polls (Poland: 22.5%)
- 43.4%PiS, first at the Sejm election of October 2023
Today's polls here, against the Sejm election of October 2023
- PiS 43.4% → 27.4%
- Konfederacja 7.5% → 24.4%
- KO 20.2% → 24.2%
- Lewica 8.9% → 11.8%
- Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 16.3% → 6.0%
- Rozwój Plus 0.0% → 5.2%
- Others 3.7% → 0.9%
Pale bar: the Sejm election of October 2023; solid: today's national polls carried down to Grunwald (rural) (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every gmina adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Poland forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every gmina
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 2,494 gminy with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About Grunwald (rural)
Grunwald (rural) has 4,016 voters, the 82nd largest of 116 in Warmińsko-mazurskie and 1777th of 2,494 across Poland.
At the Sejm election of October 2023 it voted PiS 43.4%, KO 20.2%, Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 16.3%. KO did 10 points worse here than across Poland.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has PiS on 27.4% and Konfederacja on 24.4%.
Gminy of a similar size in Warmińsko-mazurskie
- Miłakowo (rural)3,991 voters · KO first
- Rozogi (rural)4,189 voters · PiS first
- Pasym (rural)4,206 voters · KO first
- Płośnica (rural)4,207 voters · PiS first
- Miłomłyn (rural)3,813 voters · KO first
- Ryn (rural)4,252 voters · KO first
- Kozłowo (rural)4,303 voters · PiS first
- Kisielice (rural)4,397 voters · PiS first
Every gmina in Warmińsko-mazurskie → · All of Poland →
Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza: Sejm election of 15 October 2023, list votes by gmina.