Częstochowa: KO would still come first on today's polls
Częstochowa (Śląskie) has 160,015 voters. Below: how it voted at the Sejm election of October 2023, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. The next local elections are in spring 2029.
- 160,015voters
- 38.9%KO on today's polls (Poland: 33.2%)
- 35.8%KO, first at the Sejm election of October 2023
Today's polls here, against the Sejm election of October 2023
- KO 35.8% → 38.9%
- Konfederacja 5.9% → 19.5%
- PiS 30.9% → 17.3%
- Lewica 12.4% → 14.9%
- Rozwój Plus 0.0% → 4.9%
- Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 11.6% → 3.6%
- Others 3.4% → 0.8%
Pale bar: the Sejm election of October 2023; solid: today's national polls carried down to Częstochowa (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every gmina adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Poland forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every gmina
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 2,494 gminy with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About Częstochowa
Częstochowa has 160,015 voters, the 2nd largest of 167 in Śląskie and 13th of 2,494 across Poland.
At the Sejm election of October 2023 it voted KO 35.8%, PiS 30.9%, Lewica 12.4%. KO did 6 points better here than across Poland.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has KO on 38.9% and Konfederacja on 19.5%.
Gminy of a similar size in Śląskie
- Sosnowiec147,145 voters · KO first
- Gliwice129,416 voters · KO first
- Bielsko-Biała125,690 voters · KO first
- Zabrze118,388 voters · KO first
- Katowice218,075 voters · KO first
- Bytom109,262 voters · KO first
- Ruda Śląska98,989 voters · KO first
- Rybnik98,859 voters · KO first
Every gmina in Śląskie → · All of Poland →
Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza: Sejm election of 15 October 2023, list votes by gmina.