Warka (rural): PiS would still come first on today's polls
Warka (rural) (Mazowieckie) has 14,927 voters. Below: how it voted at the Sejm election of October 2023, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. The next local elections are in spring 2029.
- 14,927voters
- 26.9%PiS on today's polls (Poland: 22.5%)
- 42.1%PiS, first at the Sejm election of October 2023
Today's polls here, against the Sejm election of October 2023
- PiS 42.1% → 26.9%
- Konfederacja 8.2% → 26.2%
- KO 18.2% → 22.3%
- Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 21.1% → 9.2%
- Lewica 6.5% → 9.1%
- Rozwój Plus 0.0% → 5.3%
- Others 3.8% → 1.0%
Pale bar: the Sejm election of October 2023; solid: today's national polls carried down to Warka (rural) (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every gmina adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Poland forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every gmina
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 2,494 gminy with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About Warka (rural)
Warka (rural) has 14,927 voters, the 60th largest of 331 in Mazowieckie and 369th of 2,494 across Poland.
At the Sejm election of October 2023 it voted PiS 42.1%, Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 21.1%, KO 18.2%. KO did 12 points worse here than across Poland.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has PiS on 26.9% and Konfederacja on 26.2%.
Gminy of a similar size in Mazowieckie
- Nasielsk (rural)15,084 voters · PiS first
- Michałowice (rural)14,472 voters · KO first
- Tłuszcz (rural)15,421 voters · PiS first
- Jabłonna (rural)15,592 voters · KO first
- Sokołów Podlaski14,262 voters · KO first
- Siedlce (rural)14,187 voters · Konfederacja first
- Stare Babice (rural)15,793 voters · KO first
- Józefów15,807 voters · KO first
Every gmina in Mazowieckie → · All of Poland →
Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza: Sejm election of 15 October 2023, list votes by gmina.