Obsza (rural): PiS would still come first on today's polls
Obsza (rural) (Lubelskie) has 3,239 voters. Below: how it voted at the Sejm election of October 2023, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. The next local elections are in spring 2029.
- 3,239voters
- 50.5%PiS on today's polls (Poland: 22.5%)
- 69.8%PiS, first at the Sejm election of October 2023
Today's polls here, against the Sejm election of October 2023
- PiS 69.8% → 50.5%
- Konfederacja 7.3% → 25.1%
- KO 7.2% → 10.1%
- Rozwój Plus 0.0% → 5.5%
- Lewica 2.7% → 4.6%
- Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 7.5% → 2.6%
- Others 5.5% → 1.5%
Pale bar: the Sejm election of October 2023; solid: today's national polls carried down to Obsza (rural) (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every gmina adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Poland forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every gmina
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 2,494 gminy with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Obsza (rural)
Obsza (rural) has 3,239 voters, the 154th largest of 213 in Lubelskie and 2080th of 2,494 across Poland.
At the Sejm election of October 2023 it voted PiS 69.8%, Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 7.5%, Konfederacja 7.3%. PiS did 34 points better here than across Poland.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has PiS on 50.5% and Konfederacja on 25.1%.
Gminy of a similar size in Lubelskie
- Rejowiec Fabryczny3,234 voters · PiS first
- Urszulin (rural)3,253 voters · PiS first
- Leśna Podlaska (rural)3,260 voters · PiS first
- Komarówka Podlaska (rural)3,217 voters · PiS first
- Siennica Różana (rural)3,206 voters · Konfederacja first
- Zalesie (rural)3,292 voters · PiS first
- Łukowa (rural)3,178 voters · PiS first
- Czemierniki (rural)3,329 voters · PiS first
Every gmina in Lubelskie → · All of Poland →
Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza: Sejm election of 15 October 2023, list votes by gmina.