Italia Prossime elezionientro il 22 dic 2027tra 415 giorni Centre-left majority 61% No majority in the Camera 0% Calendario Precisione Ricerca
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Nuova legge elettorale La nostra previsione ora usa la nuova legge elettorale, approvata l'8 ottobre 2026: niente collegi uninominali, e 70 deputati e 35 senatori in più alla coalizione che arriva prima con il 42% dei voti. Le mappe mostrano quale coalizione è avanti in ogni ex collegio; non sono più seggi. Cosa cambia →
Italy · Votes per seat

A seat costs Azione 1.5 times as many votes as Centre-left

Italy elects its 400 seats by a mix of single-member seats and lists. On our projection, 38 seats go to a different party than a strictly proportional split of the same votes would give.

Seats against the vote

  1. Centre-left43.7% of the vote 223 seats; 185 in proportion (+38) 0.83 × the average votes per seat
  2. Centre-right41.2% of the vote 143 seats; 174 in proportion (-31) 1.22 × the average votes per seat
  3. FN6.7% of the vote 24 seats; 29 in proportion (-5) 1.19 × the average votes per seat
  4. Azione3.0% of the vote 10 seats; 13 in proportion (-3) 1.27 × the average votes per seat

"In proportion": each party's share of the seats if they followed its share of our projected vote exactly. What if the polls are wrong? → · The same votes under other countries' rules →