Italy General electionby 22 Dec 2027in 406 days Centre-left majority 63% No majority in the Camera 0% Calendar Track record Research
Closest
New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election

Quorum / YouTrend, 9 November 2026

Quorum / YouTrend has FdI ahead of PD by 7.1 points, 27.4% to 20.3%. Since its previous poll (28 October 2026) no party has moved by a point or more.

Fieldwork7 November 2026 – 9 November 2026
Sample810
MethodCATI-CAMI-CAWI (not re-verified)
Release release
In our averageYes: it is this pollster's latest

Main

%
Giorgia MeloniFdI 27.4
Elly SchleinPD 20.3
Giuseppe ConteM5S 13.2
FN 7.2
Others 6.8
Antonio TajaniFI 6.7
Angelo BonelliAVS 6.3
Matteo SalviniLega 5.5
Carlo CalendaAzione 3.6
Matteo RenziIV 2.9

Against the other polls

Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 7 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it.

Quorum / YouTrend's previous poll, 28 October 2026 →

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