Italy General electionby 22 Dec 2027in 416 days Centre-left majority 61% No majority in the Camera 0% Calendar Track record Research
Closest
New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election

Quorum / YouTrend, 28 October 2026

Quorum / YouTrend has FdI ahead of PD by 8.2 points, 28.1% to 19.9%. Since its previous poll (6 October 2026): FdI +1.1 (27 → 28.1).

Fieldwork27 October 2026 – 28 October 2026
Sample810
MethodCATI-CAMI-CAWI (not re-verified)
Release release
In our averageYes: it is this pollster's latest

Main

%
Giorgia MeloniFdI 28.1
Elly SchleinPD 19.9
Giuseppe ConteM5S 13.5
Antonio TajaniFI 7
FN 7
Angelo BonelliAVS 6.4
Matteo SalviniLega 5
Others 3.7
Carlo CalendaAzione 3.4
Matteo RenziIV 2.7
Riccardo Magi+Europa 1.5
Maurizio LupiNM 1
ScN 0.8

Against the other polls

Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 8 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it.

Quorum / YouTrend's previous poll, 6 October 2026 →

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