New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election
SWG S.p.A., 9 November 2026
SWG S.p.A. has FdI ahead of PD by 8.1 points, 28.9% to 20.8%. Since its previous poll (2 November 2026) no party has moved by a point or more.
| Fieldwork | 4 November 2026 – 9 November 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 1,200 |
| Method | mixed CATI-CAMI-CAWI (weekly national sample of 1200) |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 FdI |
28.9 |
 PD |
20.8 |
 M5S |
12.6 |
 FI |
7.3 |
 AVS |
6.2 |
 Lega |
5.7 |
| FN | 5.5 |
| Others | 4.3 |
 Azione |
3.2 |
 IV |
2.2 |
 +Europa |
1.2 |
| ScN | 1.1 |
 NM |
1 |
Against the other polls
Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 6 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it.