New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election
SWG S.p.A., 12 October 2026
SWG S.p.A. has FdI ahead of PD by 7.3 points, 27.7% to 20.4%. Since its previous poll (4 October 2026) no party has moved by a point or more.
| Fieldwork | 7 October 2026 – 12 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 12 October 2026 |
| Sample | 1,200 |
| Method | CATI-CAMI-CAWI |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
SWG Radar, "Intenzioni di voto" 12 ottobre 2026; non si esprime 28% of respondents (UNDECIDED, share of all respondents, not part of the 100)
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
| Not stating a vote (share of all asked) | 28 |
 FdI |
27.7 |
 PD |
20.4 |
 M5S |
12.7 |
| FN | 7.6 |
 FI |
7.3 |
 AVS |
6.6 |
 Lega |
5.4 |
 Azione |
3.2 |
| Others | 3.1 |
 IV |
2.3 |
 +Europa |
1.7 |
| ScN | 1 |
Against the other polls
Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 15 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it.