Italy General electionby 22 Dec 2027in 415 days Centre-left majority 60% No majority in the Camera 0% Calendar Track record Research
Closest
New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →

Lavarone: FdI would still come first on today's polls

Lavarone (Trentino-Alto Adige/Sudtirol) has 985 voters. Below: how it voted at the general election of September 2022, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. Each comune elects its mayor and council every five years, on its own cycle.

Today's polls here, against the general election of September 2022

  1. FdI 31.5% → 33.4%
  2. PD 18.5% → 20.2%
  3. Action, Italia Viva 11.4% → 8.6%
  4. FN 0.0% → 6.7%
  5. Lega 9.6% → 6.1%
  6. AVS 2.7% → 5.0%
  7. FI 4.5% → 3.8%
  8. M5S 4.9% → 3.5%
  9. +Europa 2.4% → 1.2%
  10. NM 0.0% → 1.1%
  11. Others 14.7% → 10.4%

Pale bar: the general election of September 2022; solid: today's national polls carried down to Lavarone (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every comune adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Italy forecast →

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every comune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 7,830 comuni with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

4 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Lavarone

Lavarone has 985 voters, the 185th largest of 282 in Trentino-Alto Adige/Sudtirol and 5483rd of 7,830 across Italy.

At the general election of September 2022 it voted FdI 31.5%, PD 18.5%, Action, Italia Viva 11.4%. M5S did 11 points worse here than across Italy.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has FdI on 33.4% and PD on 20.2%.

Comuni of a similar size in Trentino-Alto Adige/Sudtirol

Every comune in Trentino-Alto Adige/Sudtirol → · All of Italy →

Ministero dell'Interno, Eligendo open data: Camera dei deputati, 25 September 2022, proportional list votes by comune (Valle d'Aosta, which elects by one constituency vote only, is not included).