Bivona: M5S would still come first on today's polls
Bivona (Sicilia) has 2,806 voters. Below: how it voted at the general election of September 2022, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. Each comune elects its mayor and council every five years, on its own cycle.
- 2,806voters
- 40.1%M5S on today's polls (Italy: 12.7%)
- 49.3%M5S, first at the general election of September 2022
Today's polls here, against the general election of September 2022
- M5S 49.3% → 40.1%
- PD 15.4% → 17.6%
- FdI 13.0% → 14.8%
- FN 0.0% → 7.0%
- FI 7.7% → 6.6%
- AVS 2.1% → 4.5%
- Action, Italia Viva 2.4% → 1.8%
- Lega 2.5% → 1.6%
- NM 0.6% → 1.1%
- +Europa 0.7% → 0.4%
- Others 6.2% → 4.5%
Pale bar: the general election of September 2022; solid: today's national polls carried down to Bivona (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every comune adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Italy forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every comune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 7,830 comuni with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
4 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Bivona
Bivona has 2,806 voters, the 231st largest of 391 in Sicilia and 3089th of 7,830 across Italy.
At the general election of September 2022 it voted M5S 49.3%, PD 15.4%, FdI 13%. M5S did 34 points better here than across Italy.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has M5S on 40.1% and PD on 17.6%.
Comuni of a similar size in Sicilia
- Gagliano Castelferrato2,804 voters · FdI first
- Valledolmo2,800 voters · FdI first
- Cattolica Eraclea2,787 voters · M5S first
- San Fratello2,849 voters · FdI first
- Alia2,864 voters · FdI first
- Caltabellotta2,736 voters · M5S first
- Mazzarrone2,888 voters · FdI first
- Aci Bonaccorsi2,889 voters · FdI first
Every comune in Sicilia → · All of Italy →
Ministero dell'Interno, Eligendo open data: Camera dei deputati, 25 September 2022, proportional list votes by comune (Valle d'Aosta, which elects by one constituency vote only, is not included).