Cervaro: FdI would still come first on today's polls
Cervaro (Lazio) has 6,387 voters. Below: how it voted at the general election of September 2022, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. Each comune elects its mayor and council every five years, on its own cycle.
- 6,387voters
- 31.8%FdI on today's polls (Italy: 27.6%)
- 29.3%FdI, first at the general election of September 2022
Today's polls here, against the general election of September 2022
- FdI 29.3% → 31.8%
- M5S 21.3% → 16.4%
- PD 11.5% → 13.2%
- FI 13.9% → 12.1%
- FN 0.0% → 7.0%
- Lega 8.2% → 5.3%
- AVS 1.7% → 3.8%
- Action, Italia Viva 4.7% → 3.4%
- NM 0.5% → 1.1%
- +Europa 1.7% → 0.9%
- Others 7.1% → 5.1%
Pale bar: the general election of September 2022; solid: today's national polls carried down to Cervaro (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every comune adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Italy forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every comune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 7,830 comuni with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Cervaro
Cervaro has 6,387 voters, the 91st largest of 378 in Lazio and 1507th of 7,830 across Italy.
At the general election of September 2022 it voted FdI 29.3%, M5S 21.3%, FI 13.9%. PD did 7 points worse here than across Italy.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has FdI on 31.8% and M5S on 16.4%.
Comuni of a similar size in Lazio
- Tuscania6,368 voters · FdI first
- Fabrica Di Roma6,338 voters · FdI first
- Paliano6,474 voters · FdI first
- Castelnuovo Di Porto6,294 voters · FdI first
- Orte6,264 voters · FdI first
- Soriano Nel Cimino6,600 voters · FdI first
- Montalto Di Castro6,629 voters · FdI first
- Morlupo6,145 voters · FdI first
Every comune in Lazio → · All of Italy →
Ministero dell'Interno, Eligendo open data: Camera dei deputati, 25 September 2022, proportional list votes by comune (Valle d'Aosta, which elects by one constituency vote only, is not included).