Cancellara: Lega would still come first on today's polls
Cancellara (Basilicata) has 1,005 voters. Below: how it voted at the general election of September 2022, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. Each comune elects its mayor and council every five years, on its own cycle.
- 1,005voters
- 25.1%Lega on today's polls (Italy: 5.7%)
- 31.6%Lega, first at the general election of September 2022
Today's polls here, against the general election of September 2022
- Lega 31.6% → 25.1%
- M5S 23.7% → 19.0%
- PD 13.5% → 15.9%
- FdI 9.0% → 10.7%
- AVS 4.2% → 7.6%
- FN 0.0% → 7.1%
- Action, Italia Viva 9.2% → 7.1%
- FI 4.2% → 3.7%
- NM 0.8% → 1.1%
- +Europa 1.0% → 0.5%
- Others 3.0% → 2.3%
Pale bar: the general election of September 2022; solid: today's national polls carried down to Cancellara (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every comune adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Italy forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every comune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 7,830 comuni with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
4 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cancellara
Cancellara has 1,005 voters, the 93rd largest of 131 in Basilicata and 5439th of 7,830 across Italy.
At the general election of September 2022 it voted Lega 31.6%, M5S 23.7%, PD 13.5%. Lega did 23 points better here than across Italy.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has Lega on 25.1% and M5S on 19%.
Comuni of a similar size in Basilicata
- Banzi1,012 voters · PD first
- Montemurro973 voters · FdI first
- Castelsaraceno1,052 voters · M5S first
- San Chirico Nuovo1,053 voters · M5S first
- Sant'Angelo Le Fratte1,075 voters · M5S first
- Terranova Di Pollino934 voters · FdI first
- Colobraro930 voters · PD first
- Episcopia1,091 voters · FdI first
Every comune in Basilicata → · All of Italy →
Ministero dell'Interno, Eligendo open data: Camera dei deputati, 25 September 2022, proportional list votes by comune (Valle d'Aosta, which elects by one constituency vote only, is not included).