Italy General electionby 22 Dec 2027in 408 days Centre-left majority 62% No majority in the Camera 0% Calendar Track record Research
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Taxpayers with employee income by collegio

Taxpayers with employee income in every collegio in Italy: highest in Bressanone/Brixen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U04) (66.5%), lowest in Savona (Liguria - U01) (49.1%); the middle collegio is at 56.0%. Of the fifth of collegi where it is highest, our forecast has Centre-left winning 16 of 29; where it is lowest, Centre-left wins 18 of 29.

Collegno (Piemonte 1 - U03): 54.3% Chieri (Piemonte 1 - U04): 52.1% Torino – Santa Rita (Piemonte 1 - U01): 56.0% Torino – San Paolo (Piemonte 1 - U02): 56.0% Moncalieri (Piemonte 1 - U05): 52.7% Cuneo (Piemonte 2 - U05): 53.3% Novara (Piemonte 2 - U02): 54.3% Vercelli (Piemonte 2 - U03): 51.1% Alessandria (Piemonte 2 - U01): 53.0% Asti (Piemonte 2 - U04): 53.2% Valle d'Aosta (Valle d'Aosta - U01): 56.0% Legnano (Lombardia 1 - U05): 58.5% Sesto San Giovanni (Lombardia 1 - U06): 59.0% Milano – Loreto (Lombardia 1 - U07): 59.6% Seregno (Lombardia 1 - U02): 58.3% Cologno Monzese (Lombardia 1 - U03): 61.3% Rozzano (Lombardia 1 - U04): 59.8% Milano – Bande Nere (Lombardia 1 - U08): 59.6% Milano – Buenos Aires (Lombardia 1 - U09): 59.6% Monza (Lombardia 1 - U01): 58.2% Como (Lombardia 2 - U03): 53.7% Lecco (Lombardia 2 - U05): 56.1% Busto Arsizio (Lombardia 2 - U02): 57.6% Sondrio (Lombardia 2 - U04): 51.9% Varese (Lombardia 2 - U01): 50.7% Treviglio (Lombardia 3 - U01): 61.6% Lumezzane (Lombardia 3 - U03): 56.0% Bergamo (Lombardia 3 - U02): 55.7% Desenzano del Garda (Lombardia 3 - U05): 60.6% Brescia (Lombardia 3 - U04): 59.4% Lodi (Lombardia 4 - U02): 61.0% Pavia (Lombardia 4 - U01): 55.4% Cremona (Lombardia 4 - U03): 56.7% Mantova (Lombardia 4 - U04): 58.0% Bolzano/Bozen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U03): 63.1% Bressanone/Brixen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U04): 66.5% Rovereto (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U02): 59.9% Trento (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U01): 60.7% Belluno (Veneto 1 - U05): 55.5% Venezia (Veneto 1 - U01): 56.8% Chioggia (Veneto 1 - U02): 59.1% Treviso (Veneto 1 - U03): 59.5% Castelfranco Veneto (Veneto 1 - U04): 58.3% Bassano del Grappa (Veneto 2 - U04): 57.1% Villafranca di Verona (Veneto 2 - U07): 60.9% Padova (Veneto 2 - U03): 57.0% Verona (Veneto 2 - U06): 58.0% Rovigo (Veneto 2 - U01): 54.6% Vicenza (Veneto 2 - U05): 59.2% Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - U02): 59.5% Udine (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U02): 55.3% Pordenone (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U01): 57.1% Trieste (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U03): 56.1% Genova – Ponente (Liguria - U02): 53.9% La Spezia (Liguria - U04): 51.9% Savona (Liguria - U01): 49.1% Genova – Centro Est (Liguria - U03): 56.8% Ravenna (Emilia-Romagna - U08): 57.2% Modena (Emilia-Romagna - U04): 59.7% Bologna (Emilia-Romagna - U06): 58.8% Piacenza (Emilia-Romagna - U01): 58.1% Imola (Emilia-Romagna - U05): 56.6% Rimini (Emilia-Romagna - U11): 57.1% Forlì (Emilia-Romagna - U10): 57.7% Parma (Emilia-Romagna - U02): 60.2% Reggio nell'Emilia (Emilia-Romagna - U03): 59.5% Carpi (Emilia-Romagna - U07): 59.2% Ferrara (Emilia-Romagna - U09): 54.0% Firenze (Toscana - U07): 55.6% Grosseto (Toscana - U01): 54.4% Massa (Toscana - U02): 53.0% Pisa (Toscana - U04): 56.7% Scandicci (Toscana - U08): 56.5% Arezzo (Toscana - U09): 55.6% Lucca (Toscana - U03): 54.6% Prato (Toscana - U06): 58.6% Livorno (Toscana - U05): 55.4% Perugia (Umbria - U02): 55.9% Terni (Umbria - U01): 52.8% Ancona (Marche - U03): 56.7% Pesaro (Marche - U04): 56.6% Ascoli Piceno (Marche - U01): 54.1% Macerata (Marche - U02): 54.3% Roma – Municipio XI (Lazio 1 - U06): 59.6% Roma – Municipio XIV (Lazio 1 - U07): 57.8% Roma – Municipio X (Lazio 1 - U05): 58.8% Roma – Municipio I (Lazio 1 - U01): 57.8% Velletri (Lazio 1 - U08): 59.2% Roma – Municipio III (Lazio 1 - U02): 57.8% Roma – Municipio VII (Lazio 1 - U04): 58.1% Guidonia Montecelio (Lazio 1 - U09): 60.5% Roma – Municipio V (Lazio 1 - U03): 57.8% Frosinone (Lazio 2 - U04): 54.3% Viterbo (Lazio 2 - U01): 55.2% Latina (Lazio 2 - U03): 59.3% Terracina (Lazio 2 - U05): 54.5% Rieti (Lazio 2 - U02): 57.2% Pescara (Abruzzo - U02): 55.6% L'Aquila (Abruzzo - U03): 54.5% Chieti (Abruzzo - U01): 53.5% Campobasso (Molise - U01): 49.7% Torre del Greco (Campania 1 - U07): 57.6% Acerra (Campania 1 - U05): 59.2% Casoria (Campania 1 - U04): 61.7% Giugliano in Campania (Campania 1 - U01): 59.5% Napoli – San Carlo all'Arena (Campania 1 - U03): 55.9% Somma Vesuviana (Campania 1 - U06): 61.2% Napoli – Fuorigrotta (Campania 1 - U02): 55.9% Caserta (Campania 2 - U02): 59.5% Avellino (Campania 2 - U04): 54.0% Scafati (Campania 2 - U05): 59.3% Salerno (Campania 2 - U06): 56.3% Aversa (Campania 2 - U01): 62.6% Benevento (Campania 2 - U03): 51.2% Eboli (Campania 2 - U07): 53.5% Taranto (Puglia - U08): 54.3% Brindisi (Puglia - U07): 54.3% Galatina (Puglia - U10): 51.0% Foggia (Puglia - U01): 54.3% Andria (Puglia - U03): 54.3% Molfetta (Puglia - U04): 55.5% Altamura (Puglia - U06): 54.8% Lecce (Puglia - U09): 54.2% Cerignola (Puglia - U02): 56.6% Bari (Puglia - U05): 55.8% Potenza (Basilicata - U01): 53.2% Vibo Valentia (Calabria - U04): 53.8% Cosenza (Calabria - U02): 53.6% Reggio di Calabria (Calabria - U05): 52.8% Catanzaro (Calabria - U03): 52.8% Corigliano-Rossano (Calabria - U01): 54.5% Agrigento (Sicilia 1 - U05): 51.7% Marsala (Sicilia 1 - U06): 52.9% Palermo – Resuttana (Sicilia 1 - U02): 55.9% Bagheria (Sicilia 1 - U03): 51.0% Palermo – Sette Cannoli (Sicilia 1 - U01): 55.0% Gela (Sicilia 1 - U04): 52.3% Ragusa (Sicilia 2 - U01): 56.6% Messina (Sicilia 2 - U06): 54.0% Barcellona Pozzo di Gotto (Sicilia 2 - U05): 51.1% Catania (Sicilia 2 - U02): 56.6% Acireale (Sicilia 2 - U03): 55.8% Siracusa (Sicilia 2 - U04): 55.4% Carbonia (Sardegna - U02): 51.5% Nuoro (Sardegna - U03): 49.8% Cagliari (Sardegna - U01): 56.6% Sassari (Sardegna - U04): 55.5%
  • 49.1% – 53.8% (29)
  • 53.8% – 55.5% (29)
  • 55.5% – 56.8% (29)
  • 56.8% – 59.2% (28)
  • 59.2% – 66.5% (32)
One hexagon per collegio, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#CollegioTaxpayers with employee incomeProjected
1 Bressanone/Brixen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U04) 66.5%SVP
2 Bolzano/Bozen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U03) 63.1%SVP
3 Aversa (Campania 2 - U01) 62.6%Centre-left
4 Casoria (Campania 1 - U04) 61.7%Centre-left
5 Treviglio (Lombardia 3 - U01) 61.6%Centre-right
6 Cologno Monzese (Lombardia 1 - U03) 61.3%Centre-left
7 Somma Vesuviana (Campania 1 - U06) 61.2%Centre-left
8 Lodi (Lombardia 4 - U02) 61.0%Centre-right
9 Villafranca di Verona (Veneto 2 - U07) 60.9%Centre-right
10 Trento (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U01) 60.7%Centre-left
11 Desenzano del Garda (Lombardia 3 - U05) 60.6%Centre-right
12 Guidonia Montecelio (Lazio 1 - U09) 60.5%Centre-right
13 Parma (Emilia-Romagna - U02) 60.2%Centre-left
14 Rovereto (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U02) 59.9%Centre-right
15 Rozzano (Lombardia 1 - U04) 59.8%Centre-right

Lowest: the bottom 15

#CollegioTaxpayers with employee incomeProjected
147 Savona (Liguria - U01) 49.1%Centre-right
146 Campobasso (Molise - U01) 49.7%Centre-left
145 Nuoro (Sardegna - U03) 49.8%Centre-left
144 Varese (Lombardia 2 - U01) 50.7%Centre-right
143 Bagheria (Sicilia 1 - U03) 51.0%Centre-left
142 Galatina (Puglia - U10) 51.0%Centre-left
141 Vercelli (Piemonte 2 - U03) 51.1%Centre-right
140 Barcellona Pozzo di Gotto (Sicilia 2 - U05) 51.1%Centre-left
139 Benevento (Campania 2 - U03) 51.2%Centre-left
138 Carbonia (Sardegna - U02) 51.5%Centre-left
137 Agrigento (Sicilia 1 - U05) 51.7%Centre-left
136 La Spezia (Liguria - U04) 51.9%Centre-left
135 Sondrio (Lombardia 2 - U04) 51.9%Centre-right
134 Chieri (Piemonte 1 - U04) 52.1%Centre-right
133 Gela (Sicilia 1 - U04) 52.3%Centre-left
Every collegio (147), highest first
#CollegioRegionTaxpayers with employee incomeProjected
1 Bressanone/Brixen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U04) Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol66.5%SVP
2 Bolzano/Bozen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U03) Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol63.1%SVP
3 Aversa (Campania 2 - U01) Campania62.6%Centre-left
4 Casoria (Campania 1 - U04) Campania61.7%Centre-left
5 Treviglio (Lombardia 3 - U01) Lombardia61.6%Centre-right
6 Cologno Monzese (Lombardia 1 - U03) Lombardia61.3%Centre-left
7 Somma Vesuviana (Campania 1 - U06) Campania61.2%Centre-left
8 Lodi (Lombardia 4 - U02) Lombardia61.0%Centre-right
9 Villafranca di Verona (Veneto 2 - U07) Veneto60.9%Centre-right
10 Trento (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U01) Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol60.7%Centre-left
11 Desenzano del Garda (Lombardia 3 - U05) Lombardia60.6%Centre-right
12 Guidonia Montecelio (Lazio 1 - U09) Lazio60.5%Centre-right
13 Parma (Emilia-Romagna - U02) Emilia-Romagna60.2%Centre-left
14 Rovereto (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U02) Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol59.9%Centre-right
15 Rozzano (Lombardia 1 - U04) Lombardia59.8%Centre-right
16 Modena (Emilia-Romagna - U04) Emilia-Romagna59.7%Centre-left
17 Roma – Municipio XI (Lazio 1 - U06) Lazio59.6%Centre-left
18 Milano – Loreto (Lombardia 1 - U07) Lombardia59.6%Centre-left
19 Milano – Bande Nere (Lombardia 1 - U08) Lombardia59.6%Centre-left
20 Milano – Buenos Aires (Lombardia 1 - U09) Lombardia59.6%Centre-left
21 Caserta (Campania 2 - U02) Campania59.5%Centre-left
22 Treviso (Veneto 1 - U03) Veneto59.5%Centre-right
23 Giugliano in Campania (Campania 1 - U01) Campania59.5%Centre-left
24 Reggio nell'Emilia (Emilia-Romagna - U03) Emilia-Romagna59.5%Centre-left
25 Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - U02) Veneto59.5%Centre-right
26 Brescia (Lombardia 3 - U04) Lombardia59.4%Centre-right
27 Latina (Lazio 2 - U03) Lazio59.3%Centre-right
28 Scafati (Campania 2 - U05) Campania59.3%Centre-left
29 Carpi (Emilia-Romagna - U07) Emilia-Romagna59.2%Centre-left
30 Acerra (Campania 1 - U05) Campania59.2%Centre-left
31 Vicenza (Veneto 2 - U05) Veneto59.2%Centre-right
32 Velletri (Lazio 1 - U08) Lazio59.2%Centre-right
33 Chioggia (Veneto 1 - U02) Veneto59.1%Centre-right
34 Sesto San Giovanni (Lombardia 1 - U06) Lombardia59.0%Centre-left
35 Bologna (Emilia-Romagna - U06) Emilia-Romagna58.8%Centre-left
36 Roma – Municipio X (Lazio 1 - U05) Lazio58.8%Centre-left
37 Prato (Toscana - U06) Toscana58.6%Centre-left
38 Legnano (Lombardia 1 - U05) Lombardia58.5%Centre-right
39 Seregno (Lombardia 1 - U02) Lombardia58.3%Centre-right
40 Castelfranco Veneto (Veneto 1 - U04) Veneto58.3%Centre-right
41 Monza (Lombardia 1 - U01) Lombardia58.2%Centre-right
42 Piacenza (Emilia-Romagna - U01) Emilia-Romagna58.1%Centre-right
43 Roma – Municipio VII (Lazio 1 - U04) Lazio58.1%Centre-left
44 Verona (Veneto 2 - U06) Veneto58.0%Centre-right
45 Mantova (Lombardia 4 - U04) Lombardia58.0%Centre-right
46 Roma – Municipio I (Lazio 1 - U01) Lazio57.8%Centre-left
47 Roma – Municipio III (Lazio 1 - U02) Lazio57.8%Centre-left
48 Roma – Municipio V (Lazio 1 - U03) Lazio57.8%Centre-left
49 Roma – Municipio XIV (Lazio 1 - U07) Lazio57.8%Centre-left
50 Forlì (Emilia-Romagna - U10) Emilia-Romagna57.7%Centre-left
51 Busto Arsizio (Lombardia 2 - U02) Lombardia57.6%Centre-right
52 Torre del Greco (Campania 1 - U07) Campania57.6%Centre-left
53 Ravenna (Emilia-Romagna - U08) Emilia-Romagna57.2%Centre-left
54 Rieti (Lazio 2 - U02) Lazio57.2%Centre-right
55 Rimini (Emilia-Romagna - U11) Emilia-Romagna57.1%Centre-left
56 Bassano del Grappa (Veneto 2 - U04) Veneto57.1%Centre-right
57 Pordenone (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U01) Friuli-Venezia Giulia57.1%Centre-right
58 Padova (Veneto 2 - U03) Veneto57.0%Centre-right
59 Venezia (Veneto 1 - U01) Veneto56.8%Centre-right
60 Genova – Centro Est (Liguria - U03) Liguria56.8%Centre-left
61 Pisa (Toscana - U04) Toscana56.7%Centre-left
62 Ancona (Marche - U03) Marche56.7%Centre-left
63 Cremona (Lombardia 4 - U03) Lombardia56.7%Centre-right
64 Cagliari (Sardegna - U01) Sardegna56.6%Centre-left
65 Imola (Emilia-Romagna - U05) Emilia-Romagna56.6%Centre-left
66 Cerignola (Puglia - U02) Puglia56.6%Centre-left
67 Ragusa (Sicilia 2 - U01) Sicilia56.6%Centre-left
68 Catania (Sicilia 2 - U02) Sicilia56.6%Centre-left
69 Pesaro (Marche - U04) Marche56.6%Centre-left
70 Scandicci (Toscana - U08) Toscana56.5%Centre-left
71 Salerno (Campania 2 - U06) Campania56.3%Centre-left
72 Lecco (Lombardia 2 - U05) Lombardia56.1%Centre-right
73 Trieste (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U03) Friuli-Venezia Giulia56.1%Centre-left
74 Lumezzane (Lombardia 3 - U03) Lombardia56.0%Centre-right
75 Valle d'Aosta (Valle d'Aosta - U01) Valle d'Aosta56.0%Centre-left
76 Torino – Santa Rita (Piemonte 1 - U01) Piemonte56.0%Centre-left
77 Torino – San Paolo (Piemonte 1 - U02) Piemonte56.0%Centre-left
78 Perugia (Umbria - U02) Umbria55.9%Centre-left
79 Napoli – Fuorigrotta (Campania 1 - U02) Campania55.9%Centre-left
80 Napoli – San Carlo all'Arena (Campania 1 - U03) Campania55.9%Centre-left
81 Palermo – Resuttana (Sicilia 1 - U02) Sicilia55.9%Centre-left
82 Bari (Puglia - U05) Puglia55.8%Centre-left
83 Acireale (Sicilia 2 - U03) Sicilia55.8%Centre-left
84 Bergamo (Lombardia 3 - U02) Lombardia55.7%Centre-right
85 Arezzo (Toscana - U09) Toscana55.6%Centre-left
86 Pescara (Abruzzo - U02) Abruzzo55.6%Centre-left
87 Firenze (Toscana - U07) Toscana55.6%Centre-left
88 Belluno (Veneto 1 - U05) Veneto55.5%Centre-right
89 Sassari (Sardegna - U04) Sardegna55.5%Centre-left
90 Molfetta (Puglia - U04) Puglia55.5%Centre-left
91 Pavia (Lombardia 4 - U01) Lombardia55.4%Centre-right
92 Siracusa (Sicilia 2 - U04) Sicilia55.4%Centre-left
93 Livorno (Toscana - U05) Toscana55.4%Centre-left
94 Udine (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U02) Friuli-Venezia Giulia55.3%Centre-right
95 Viterbo (Lazio 2 - U01) Lazio55.2%Centre-right
96 Palermo – Sette Cannoli (Sicilia 1 - U01) Sicilia55.0%Centre-left
97 Altamura (Puglia - U06) Puglia54.8%Centre-left
98 Rovigo (Veneto 2 - U01) Veneto54.6%Centre-right
99 Lucca (Toscana - U03) Toscana54.6%Centre-right
100 Terracina (Lazio 2 - U05) Lazio54.5%Centre-right
101 Corigliano-Rossano (Calabria - U01) Calabria54.5%Centre-left
102 L'Aquila (Abruzzo - U03) Abruzzo54.5%Centre-right
103 Grosseto (Toscana - U01) Toscana54.4%Centre-left
104 Novara (Piemonte 2 - U02) Piemonte54.3%Centre-right
105 Taranto (Puglia - U08) Puglia54.3%Centre-left
106 Andria (Puglia - U03) Puglia54.3%Centre-left
107 Brindisi (Puglia - U07) Puglia54.3%Centre-left
108 Collegno (Piemonte 1 - U03) Piemonte54.3%Centre-left
109 Macerata (Marche - U02) Marche54.3%Centre-right
110 Frosinone (Lazio 2 - U04) Lazio54.3%Centre-right
111 Foggia (Puglia - U01) Puglia54.3%Centre-left
112 Lecce (Puglia - U09) Puglia54.2%Centre-left
113 Ascoli Piceno (Marche - U01) Marche54.1%Centre-right
114 Avellino (Campania 2 - U04) Campania54.0%Centre-left
115 Messina (Sicilia 2 - U06) Sicilia54.0%Centre-left
116 Ferrara (Emilia-Romagna - U09) Emilia-Romagna54.0%Centre-right
117 Genova – Ponente (Liguria - U02) Liguria53.9%Centre-left
118 Vibo Valentia (Calabria - U04) Calabria53.8%Centre-right
119 Como (Lombardia 2 - U03) Lombardia53.7%Centre-right
120 Cosenza (Calabria - U02) Calabria53.6%Centre-left
121 Chieti (Abruzzo - U01) Abruzzo53.5%Centre-left
122 Eboli (Campania 2 - U07) Campania53.5%Centre-left
123 Cuneo (Piemonte 2 - U05) Piemonte53.3%Centre-right
124 Asti (Piemonte 2 - U04) Piemonte53.2%Centre-right
125 Potenza (Basilicata - U01) Basilicata53.2%Centre-left
126 Massa (Toscana - U02) Toscana53.0%Centre-left
127 Alessandria (Piemonte 2 - U01) Piemonte53.0%Centre-right
128 Marsala (Sicilia 1 - U06) Sicilia52.9%Centre-left
129 Catanzaro (Calabria - U03) Calabria52.8%Centre-left
130 Terni (Umbria - U01) Umbria52.8%Centre-right
131 Reggio di Calabria (Calabria - U05) Calabria52.8%Centre-right
132 Moncalieri (Piemonte 1 - U05) Piemonte52.7%Centre-left
133 Gela (Sicilia 1 - U04) Sicilia52.3%Centre-left
134 Chieri (Piemonte 1 - U04) Piemonte52.1%Centre-right
135 Sondrio (Lombardia 2 - U04) Lombardia51.9%Centre-right
136 La Spezia (Liguria - U04) Liguria51.9%Centre-left
137 Agrigento (Sicilia 1 - U05) Sicilia51.7%Centre-left
138 Carbonia (Sardegna - U02) Sardegna51.5%Centre-left
139 Benevento (Campania 2 - U03) Campania51.2%Centre-left
140 Barcellona Pozzo di Gotto (Sicilia 2 - U05) Sicilia51.1%Centre-left
141 Vercelli (Piemonte 2 - U03) Piemonte51.1%Centre-right
142 Galatina (Puglia - U10) Puglia51.0%Centre-left
143 Bagheria (Sicilia 1 - U03) Sicilia51.0%Centre-left
144 Varese (Lombardia 2 - U01) Lombardia50.7%Centre-right
145 Nuoro (Sardegna - U03) Sardegna49.8%Centre-left
146 Campobasso (Molise - U01) Molise49.7%Centre-left
147 Savona (Liguria - U01) Liguria49.1%Centre-right