Italy General electionby 22 Dec 2027in 408 days Centre-left majority 62% No majority in the Camera 0% Calendar Track record Research
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New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →

Census map · Italy

Population aged 18-34 by collegio

Population aged 18-34 in every collegio in Italy: highest in Casoria (Campania 1 - U04) (21.3%), lowest in Carbonia (Sardegna - U02) (14.9%); the middle collegio is at 17.4%. Of the fifth of collegi where it is highest, our forecast has Centre-left winning 26 of 29; where it is lowest, Centre-left wins 16 of 29.

Collegno (Piemonte 1 - U03): 16.2% Chieri (Piemonte 1 - U04): 16.3% Torino – Santa Rita (Piemonte 1 - U01): 18.2% Torino – San Paolo (Piemonte 1 - U02): 18.2% Moncalieri (Piemonte 1 - U05): 16.3% Cuneo (Piemonte 2 - U05): 17.9% Novara (Piemonte 2 - U02): 16.7% Vercelli (Piemonte 2 - U03): 15.8% Alessandria (Piemonte 2 - U01): 15.7% Asti (Piemonte 2 - U04): 16.9% Valle d'Aosta (Valle d'Aosta - U01): 16.7% Legnano (Lombardia 1 - U05): 16.9% Sesto San Giovanni (Lombardia 1 - U06): 17.5% Milano – Loreto (Lombardia 1 - U07): 19.8% Seregno (Lombardia 1 - U02): 17.0% Cologno Monzese (Lombardia 1 - U03): 17.6% Rozzano (Lombardia 1 - U04): 17.4% Milano – Bande Nere (Lombardia 1 - U08): 19.8% Milano – Buenos Aires (Lombardia 1 - U09): 19.8% Monza (Lombardia 1 - U01): 17.4% Como (Lombardia 2 - U03): 17.6% Lecco (Lombardia 2 - U05): 17.4% Busto Arsizio (Lombardia 2 - U02): 16.9% Sondrio (Lombardia 2 - U04): 17.0% Varese (Lombardia 2 - U01): 17.0% Treviglio (Lombardia 3 - U01): 18.4% Lumezzane (Lombardia 3 - U03): 17.1% Bergamo (Lombardia 3 - U02): 17.8% Desenzano del Garda (Lombardia 3 - U05): 18.4% Brescia (Lombardia 3 - U04): 18.1% Lodi (Lombardia 4 - U02): 17.4% Pavia (Lombardia 4 - U01): 16.7% Cremona (Lombardia 4 - U03): 17.1% Mantova (Lombardia 4 - U04): 16.8% Bolzano/Bozen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U03): 18.8% Bressanone/Brixen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U04): 19.9% Rovereto (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U02): 18.0% Trento (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U01): 19.0% Belluno (Veneto 1 - U05): 16.6% Venezia (Veneto 1 - U01): 16.5% Chioggia (Veneto 1 - U02): 16.5% Treviso (Veneto 1 - U03): 17.7% Castelfranco Veneto (Veneto 1 - U04): 17.9% Bassano del Grappa (Veneto 2 - U04): 18.0% Villafranca di Verona (Veneto 2 - U07): 17.6% Padova (Veneto 2 - U03): 17.5% Verona (Veneto 2 - U06): 18.0% Rovigo (Veneto 2 - U01): 15.4% Vicenza (Veneto 2 - U05): 18.3% Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - U02): 17.5% Udine (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U02): 15.9% Pordenone (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U01): 16.6% Trieste (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U03): 16.5% Genova – Ponente (Liguria - U02): 15.9% La Spezia (Liguria - U04): 15.6% Savona (Liguria - U01): 15.8% Genova – Centro Est (Liguria - U03): 16.5% Ravenna (Emilia-Romagna - U08): 16.3% Modena (Emilia-Romagna - U04): 18.0% Bologna (Emilia-Romagna - U06): 19.2% Piacenza (Emilia-Romagna - U01): 17.4% Imola (Emilia-Romagna - U05): 16.5% Rimini (Emilia-Romagna - U11): 16.7% Forlì (Emilia-Romagna - U10): 16.8% Parma (Emilia-Romagna - U02): 18.0% Reggio nell'Emilia (Emilia-Romagna - U03): 17.9% Carpi (Emilia-Romagna - U07): 17.1% Ferrara (Emilia-Romagna - U09): 15.1% Firenze (Toscana - U07): 17.2% Grosseto (Toscana - U01): 16.1% Massa (Toscana - U02): 15.4% Pisa (Toscana - U04): 16.8% Scandicci (Toscana - U08): 16.8% Arezzo (Toscana - U09): 16.5% Lucca (Toscana - U03): 16.2% Prato (Toscana - U06): 16.8% Livorno (Toscana - U05): 15.4% Perugia (Umbria - U02): 16.8% Terni (Umbria - U01): 15.7% Ancona (Marche - U03): 16.8% Pesaro (Marche - U04): 16.9% Ascoli Piceno (Marche - U01): 16.8% Macerata (Marche - U02): 16.8% Roma – Municipio XI (Lazio 1 - U06): 16.8% Roma – Municipio XIV (Lazio 1 - U07): 16.8% Roma – Municipio X (Lazio 1 - U05): 16.9% Roma – Municipio I (Lazio 1 - U01): 16.8% Velletri (Lazio 1 - U08): 16.9% Roma – Municipio III (Lazio 1 - U02): 16.8% Roma – Municipio VII (Lazio 1 - U04): 16.8% Guidonia Montecelio (Lazio 1 - U09): 17.6% Roma – Municipio V (Lazio 1 - U03): 16.8% Frosinone (Lazio 2 - U04): 17.0% Viterbo (Lazio 2 - U01): 16.3% Latina (Lazio 2 - U03): 17.8% Terracina (Lazio 2 - U05): 17.3% Rieti (Lazio 2 - U02): 16.9% Pescara (Abruzzo - U02): 17.0% L'Aquila (Abruzzo - U03): 16.7% Chieti (Abruzzo - U01): 16.7% Campobasso (Molise - U01): 17.5% Torre del Greco (Campania 1 - U07): 20.1% Acerra (Campania 1 - U05): 20.1% Casoria (Campania 1 - U04): 21.3% Giugliano in Campania (Campania 1 - U01): 20.3% Napoli – San Carlo all'Arena (Campania 1 - U03): 19.4% Somma Vesuviana (Campania 1 - U06): 20.5% Napoli – Fuorigrotta (Campania 1 - U02): 19.4% Caserta (Campania 2 - U02): 19.6% Avellino (Campania 2 - U04): 18.6% Scafati (Campania 2 - U05): 19.8% Salerno (Campania 2 - U06): 18.3% Aversa (Campania 2 - U01): 20.6% Benevento (Campania 2 - U03): 18.4% Eboli (Campania 2 - U07): 18.1% Taranto (Puglia - U08): 17.4% Brindisi (Puglia - U07): 17.6% Galatina (Puglia - U10): 17.5% Foggia (Puglia - U01): 19.1% Andria (Puglia - U03): 19.4% Molfetta (Puglia - U04): 18.4% Altamura (Puglia - U06): 18.7% Lecce (Puglia - U09): 17.1% Cerignola (Puglia - U02): 19.7% Bari (Puglia - U05): 17.4% Potenza (Basilicata - U01): 18.1% Vibo Valentia (Calabria - U04): 19.5% Cosenza (Calabria - U02): 17.8% Reggio di Calabria (Calabria - U05): 17.8% Catanzaro (Calabria - U03): 17.9% Corigliano-Rossano (Calabria - U01): 18.4% Agrigento (Sicilia 1 - U05): 19.0% Marsala (Sicilia 1 - U06): 18.6% Palermo – Resuttana (Sicilia 1 - U02): 18.7% Bagheria (Sicilia 1 - U03): 18.3% Palermo – Sette Cannoli (Sicilia 1 - U01): 18.2% Gela (Sicilia 1 - U04): 19.1% Ragusa (Sicilia 2 - U01): 19.6% Messina (Sicilia 2 - U06): 17.4% Barcellona Pozzo di Gotto (Sicilia 2 - U05): 18.4% Catania (Sicilia 2 - U02): 18.7% Acireale (Sicilia 2 - U03): 18.9% Siracusa (Sicilia 2 - U04): 18.1% Carbonia (Sardegna - U02): 14.9% Nuoro (Sardegna - U03): 16.0% Cagliari (Sardegna - U01): 15.6% Sassari (Sardegna - U04): 16.1%
  • 14.9% – 16.6% (29)
  • 16.6% – 17.0% (29)
  • 17.0% – 17.7% (29)
  • 17.7% – 18.4% (29)
  • 18.4% – 21.3% (31)
One hexagon per collegio, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#CollegioPopulation aged 18-34Projected
1 Casoria (Campania 1 - U04) 21.3%Centre-left
2 Aversa (Campania 2 - U01) 20.6%Centre-left
3 Somma Vesuviana (Campania 1 - U06) 20.5%Centre-left
4 Giugliano in Campania (Campania 1 - U01) 20.3%Centre-left
5 Acerra (Campania 1 - U05) 20.1%Centre-left
6 Torre del Greco (Campania 1 - U07) 20.1%Centre-left
7 Bressanone/Brixen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U04) 19.9%SVP
8 Scafati (Campania 2 - U05) 19.8%Centre-left
9 Milano – Loreto (Lombardia 1 - U07) 19.8%Centre-left
10 Milano – Bande Nere (Lombardia 1 - U08) 19.8%Centre-left
11 Milano – Buenos Aires (Lombardia 1 - U09) 19.8%Centre-left
12 Cerignola (Puglia - U02) 19.7%Centre-left
13 Ragusa (Sicilia 2 - U01) 19.6%Centre-left
14 Caserta (Campania 2 - U02) 19.6%Centre-left
15 Vibo Valentia (Calabria - U04) 19.5%Centre-right

Lowest: the bottom 15

#CollegioPopulation aged 18-34Projected
147 Carbonia (Sardegna - U02) 14.9%Centre-left
146 Ferrara (Emilia-Romagna - U09) 15.1%Centre-right
145 Massa (Toscana - U02) 15.4%Centre-left
144 Rovigo (Veneto 2 - U01) 15.4%Centre-right
143 Livorno (Toscana - U05) 15.4%Centre-left
142 Cagliari (Sardegna - U01) 15.6%Centre-left
141 La Spezia (Liguria - U04) 15.6%Centre-left
140 Alessandria (Piemonte 2 - U01) 15.7%Centre-right
139 Terni (Umbria - U01) 15.7%Centre-right
138 Vercelli (Piemonte 2 - U03) 15.8%Centre-right
137 Savona (Liguria - U01) 15.8%Centre-right
136 Udine (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U02) 15.9%Centre-right
135 Genova – Ponente (Liguria - U02) 15.9%Centre-left
134 Nuoro (Sardegna - U03) 16.0%Centre-left
133 Sassari (Sardegna - U04) 16.1%Centre-left
Every collegio (147), highest first
#CollegioRegionPopulation aged 18-34Projected
1 Casoria (Campania 1 - U04) Campania21.3%Centre-left
2 Aversa (Campania 2 - U01) Campania20.6%Centre-left
3 Somma Vesuviana (Campania 1 - U06) Campania20.5%Centre-left
4 Giugliano in Campania (Campania 1 - U01) Campania20.3%Centre-left
5 Acerra (Campania 1 - U05) Campania20.1%Centre-left
6 Torre del Greco (Campania 1 - U07) Campania20.1%Centre-left
7 Bressanone/Brixen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U04) Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol19.9%SVP
8 Scafati (Campania 2 - U05) Campania19.8%Centre-left
9 Milano – Loreto (Lombardia 1 - U07) Lombardia19.8%Centre-left
10 Milano – Bande Nere (Lombardia 1 - U08) Lombardia19.8%Centre-left
11 Milano – Buenos Aires (Lombardia 1 - U09) Lombardia19.8%Centre-left
12 Cerignola (Puglia - U02) Puglia19.7%Centre-left
13 Ragusa (Sicilia 2 - U01) Sicilia19.6%Centre-left
14 Caserta (Campania 2 - U02) Campania19.6%Centre-left
15 Vibo Valentia (Calabria - U04) Calabria19.5%Centre-right
16 Napoli – Fuorigrotta (Campania 1 - U02) Campania19.4%Centre-left
17 Napoli – San Carlo all'Arena (Campania 1 - U03) Campania19.4%Centre-left
18 Andria (Puglia - U03) Puglia19.4%Centre-left
19 Bologna (Emilia-Romagna - U06) Emilia-Romagna19.2%Centre-left
20 Foggia (Puglia - U01) Puglia19.1%Centre-left
21 Gela (Sicilia 1 - U04) Sicilia19.1%Centre-left
22 Trento (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U01) Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol19.0%Centre-left
23 Agrigento (Sicilia 1 - U05) Sicilia19.0%Centre-left
24 Acireale (Sicilia 2 - U03) Sicilia18.9%Centre-left
25 Bolzano/Bozen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U03) Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol18.8%SVP
26 Altamura (Puglia - U06) Puglia18.7%Centre-left
27 Palermo – Resuttana (Sicilia 1 - U02) Sicilia18.7%Centre-left
28 Catania (Sicilia 2 - U02) Sicilia18.7%Centre-left
29 Avellino (Campania 2 - U04) Campania18.6%Centre-left
30 Marsala (Sicilia 1 - U06) Sicilia18.6%Centre-left
31 Treviglio (Lombardia 3 - U01) Lombardia18.4%Centre-right
32 Benevento (Campania 2 - U03) Campania18.4%Centre-left
33 Corigliano-Rossano (Calabria - U01) Calabria18.4%Centre-left
34 Molfetta (Puglia - U04) Puglia18.4%Centre-left
35 Barcellona Pozzo di Gotto (Sicilia 2 - U05) Sicilia18.4%Centre-left
36 Desenzano del Garda (Lombardia 3 - U05) Lombardia18.4%Centre-right
37 Vicenza (Veneto 2 - U05) Veneto18.3%Centre-right
38 Salerno (Campania 2 - U06) Campania18.3%Centre-left
39 Bagheria (Sicilia 1 - U03) Sicilia18.3%Centre-left
40 Torino – Santa Rita (Piemonte 1 - U01) Piemonte18.2%Centre-left
41 Torino – San Paolo (Piemonte 1 - U02) Piemonte18.2%Centre-left
42 Palermo – Sette Cannoli (Sicilia 1 - U01) Sicilia18.2%Centre-left
43 Eboli (Campania 2 - U07) Campania18.1%Centre-left
44 Brescia (Lombardia 3 - U04) Lombardia18.1%Centre-right
45 Siracusa (Sicilia 2 - U04) Sicilia18.1%Centre-left
46 Potenza (Basilicata - U01) Basilicata18.1%Centre-left
47 Verona (Veneto 2 - U06) Veneto18.0%Centre-right
48 Rovereto (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U02) Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol18.0%Centre-right
49 Bassano del Grappa (Veneto 2 - U04) Veneto18.0%Centre-right
50 Modena (Emilia-Romagna - U04) Emilia-Romagna18.0%Centre-left
51 Parma (Emilia-Romagna - U02) Emilia-Romagna18.0%Centre-left
52 Cuneo (Piemonte 2 - U05) Piemonte17.9%Centre-right
53 Reggio nell'Emilia (Emilia-Romagna - U03) Emilia-Romagna17.9%Centre-left
54 Catanzaro (Calabria - U03) Calabria17.9%Centre-left
55 Castelfranco Veneto (Veneto 1 - U04) Veneto17.9%Centre-right
56 Latina (Lazio 2 - U03) Lazio17.8%Centre-right
57 Bergamo (Lombardia 3 - U02) Lombardia17.8%Centre-right
58 Cosenza (Calabria - U02) Calabria17.8%Centre-left
59 Reggio di Calabria (Calabria - U05) Calabria17.8%Centre-right
60 Treviso (Veneto 1 - U03) Veneto17.7%Centre-right
61 Brindisi (Puglia - U07) Puglia17.6%Centre-left
62 Como (Lombardia 2 - U03) Lombardia17.6%Centre-right
63 Guidonia Montecelio (Lazio 1 - U09) Lazio17.6%Centre-right
64 Cologno Monzese (Lombardia 1 - U03) Lombardia17.6%Centre-left
65 Villafranca di Verona (Veneto 2 - U07) Veneto17.6%Centre-right
66 Padova (Veneto 2 - U03) Veneto17.5%Centre-right
67 Galatina (Puglia - U10) Puglia17.5%Centre-left
68 Campobasso (Molise - U01) Molise17.5%Centre-left
69 Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - U02) Veneto17.5%Centre-right
70 Sesto San Giovanni (Lombardia 1 - U06) Lombardia17.5%Centre-left
71 Lodi (Lombardia 4 - U02) Lombardia17.4%Centre-right
72 Bari (Puglia - U05) Puglia17.4%Centre-left
73 Messina (Sicilia 2 - U06) Sicilia17.4%Centre-left
74 Piacenza (Emilia-Romagna - U01) Emilia-Romagna17.4%Centre-right
75 Rozzano (Lombardia 1 - U04) Lombardia17.4%Centre-right
76 Monza (Lombardia 1 - U01) Lombardia17.4%Centre-right
77 Lecco (Lombardia 2 - U05) Lombardia17.4%Centre-right
78 Taranto (Puglia - U08) Puglia17.4%Centre-left
79 Terracina (Lazio 2 - U05) Lazio17.3%Centre-right
80 Firenze (Toscana - U07) Toscana17.2%Centre-left
81 Lumezzane (Lombardia 3 - U03) Lombardia17.1%Centre-right
82 Carpi (Emilia-Romagna - U07) Emilia-Romagna17.1%Centre-left
83 Cremona (Lombardia 4 - U03) Lombardia17.1%Centre-right
84 Lecce (Puglia - U09) Puglia17.1%Centre-left
85 Seregno (Lombardia 1 - U02) Lombardia17.0%Centre-right
86 Frosinone (Lazio 2 - U04) Lazio17.0%Centre-right
87 Varese (Lombardia 2 - U01) Lombardia17.0%Centre-right
88 Pescara (Abruzzo - U02) Abruzzo17.0%Centre-left
89 Sondrio (Lombardia 2 - U04) Lombardia17.0%Centre-right
90 Velletri (Lazio 1 - U08) Lazio16.9%Centre-right
91 Roma – Municipio X (Lazio 1 - U05) Lazio16.9%Centre-left
92 Asti (Piemonte 2 - U04) Piemonte16.9%Centre-right
93 Legnano (Lombardia 1 - U05) Lombardia16.9%Centre-right
94 Rieti (Lazio 2 - U02) Lazio16.9%Centre-right
95 Busto Arsizio (Lombardia 2 - U02) Lombardia16.9%Centre-right
96 Pesaro (Marche - U04) Marche16.9%Centre-left
97 Roma – Municipio VII (Lazio 1 - U04) Lazio16.8%Centre-left
98 Pisa (Toscana - U04) Toscana16.8%Centre-left
99 Macerata (Marche - U02) Marche16.8%Centre-right
100 Mantova (Lombardia 4 - U04) Lombardia16.8%Centre-right
101 Roma – Municipio XI (Lazio 1 - U06) Lazio16.8%Centre-left
102 Ancona (Marche - U03) Marche16.8%Centre-left
103 Roma – Municipio I (Lazio 1 - U01) Lazio16.8%Centre-left
104 Roma – Municipio III (Lazio 1 - U02) Lazio16.8%Centre-left
105 Roma – Municipio V (Lazio 1 - U03) Lazio16.8%Centre-left
106 Roma – Municipio XIV (Lazio 1 - U07) Lazio16.8%Centre-left
107 Prato (Toscana - U06) Toscana16.8%Centre-left
108 Forlì (Emilia-Romagna - U10) Emilia-Romagna16.8%Centre-left
109 Perugia (Umbria - U02) Umbria16.8%Centre-left
110 Scandicci (Toscana - U08) Toscana16.8%Centre-left
111 Ascoli Piceno (Marche - U01) Marche16.8%Centre-right
112 Valle d'Aosta (Valle d'Aosta - U01) Valle d'Aosta16.7%Centre-left
113 Pavia (Lombardia 4 - U01) Lombardia16.7%Centre-right
114 Chieti (Abruzzo - U01) Abruzzo16.7%Centre-left
115 Rimini (Emilia-Romagna - U11) Emilia-Romagna16.7%Centre-left
116 L'Aquila (Abruzzo - U03) Abruzzo16.7%Centre-right
117 Novara (Piemonte 2 - U02) Piemonte16.7%Centre-right
118 Pordenone (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U01) Friuli-Venezia Giulia16.6%Centre-right
119 Belluno (Veneto 1 - U05) Veneto16.6%Centre-right
120 Arezzo (Toscana - U09) Toscana16.5%Centre-left
121 Chioggia (Veneto 1 - U02) Veneto16.5%Centre-right
122 Trieste (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U03) Friuli-Venezia Giulia16.5%Centre-left
123 Imola (Emilia-Romagna - U05) Emilia-Romagna16.5%Centre-left
124 Venezia (Veneto 1 - U01) Veneto16.5%Centre-right
125 Genova – Centro Est (Liguria - U03) Liguria16.5%Centre-left
126 Ravenna (Emilia-Romagna - U08) Emilia-Romagna16.3%Centre-left
127 Moncalieri (Piemonte 1 - U05) Piemonte16.3%Centre-left
128 Viterbo (Lazio 2 - U01) Lazio16.3%Centre-right
129 Chieri (Piemonte 1 - U04) Piemonte16.3%Centre-right
130 Lucca (Toscana - U03) Toscana16.2%Centre-right
131 Collegno (Piemonte 1 - U03) Piemonte16.2%Centre-left
132 Grosseto (Toscana - U01) Toscana16.1%Centre-left
133 Sassari (Sardegna - U04) Sardegna16.1%Centre-left
134 Nuoro (Sardegna - U03) Sardegna16.0%Centre-left
135 Genova – Ponente (Liguria - U02) Liguria15.9%Centre-left
136 Udine (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U02) Friuli-Venezia Giulia15.9%Centre-right
137 Savona (Liguria - U01) Liguria15.8%Centre-right
138 Vercelli (Piemonte 2 - U03) Piemonte15.8%Centre-right
139 Terni (Umbria - U01) Umbria15.7%Centre-right
140 Alessandria (Piemonte 2 - U01) Piemonte15.7%Centre-right
141 La Spezia (Liguria - U04) Liguria15.6%Centre-left
142 Cagliari (Sardegna - U01) Sardegna15.6%Centre-left
143 Livorno (Toscana - U05) Toscana15.4%Centre-left
144 Rovigo (Veneto 2 - U01) Veneto15.4%Centre-right
145 Massa (Toscana - U02) Toscana15.4%Centre-left
146 Ferrara (Emilia-Romagna - U09) Emilia-Romagna15.1%Centre-right
147 Carbonia (Sardegna - U02) Sardegna14.9%Centre-left