Italy General electionby 22 Dec 2027in 408 days Centre-left majority 62% No majority in the Camera 0% Calendar Track record Research
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Employment rate, aged 15-64 by collegio

Employment rate, aged 15-64 in every collegio in Italy: highest in Bressanone/Brixen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U04) (75.7%), lowest in Casoria (Campania 1 - U04) (46.1%); the middle collegio is at 67.1%. Of the fifth of collegi where it is highest, our forecast has Centre-left winning 14 of 29; where it is lowest, Centre-left wins 27 of 29.

Collegno (Piemonte 1 - U03): 69.6% Chieri (Piemonte 1 - U04): 68.5% Torino – Santa Rita (Piemonte 1 - U01): 67.4% Torino – San Paolo (Piemonte 1 - U02): 67.4% Moncalieri (Piemonte 1 - U05): 68.3% Cuneo (Piemonte 2 - U05): 70.6% Novara (Piemonte 2 - U02): 67.5% Vercelli (Piemonte 2 - U03): 67.9% Alessandria (Piemonte 2 - U01): 67.3% Asti (Piemonte 2 - U04): 69.7% Valle d'Aosta (Valle d'Aosta - U01): 69.9% Legnano (Lombardia 1 - U05): 70.9% Sesto San Giovanni (Lombardia 1 - U06): 70.8% Milano – Loreto (Lombardia 1 - U07): 71.4% Seregno (Lombardia 1 - U02): 71.0% Cologno Monzese (Lombardia 1 - U03): 71.5% Rozzano (Lombardia 1 - U04): 71.0% Milano – Bande Nere (Lombardia 1 - U08): 71.4% Milano – Buenos Aires (Lombardia 1 - U09): 71.4% Monza (Lombardia 1 - U01): 71.6% Como (Lombardia 2 - U03): 66.1% Lecco (Lombardia 2 - U05): 70.1% Busto Arsizio (Lombardia 2 - U02): 70.2% Sondrio (Lombardia 2 - U04): 67.1% Varese (Lombardia 2 - U01): 64.3% Treviglio (Lombardia 3 - U01): 69.4% Lumezzane (Lombardia 3 - U03): 69.2% Bergamo (Lombardia 3 - U02): 69.7% Desenzano del Garda (Lombardia 3 - U05): 69.1% Brescia (Lombardia 3 - U04): 70.2% Lodi (Lombardia 4 - U02): 70.7% Pavia (Lombardia 4 - U01): 68.2% Cremona (Lombardia 4 - U03): 69.5% Mantova (Lombardia 4 - U04): 70.0% Bolzano/Bozen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U03): 74.6% Bressanone/Brixen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U04): 75.7% Rovereto (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U02): 71.4% Trento (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U01): 71.2% Belluno (Veneto 1 - U05): 71.1% Venezia (Veneto 1 - U01): 68.2% Chioggia (Veneto 1 - U02): 70.1% Treviso (Veneto 1 - U03): 70.0% Castelfranco Veneto (Veneto 1 - U04): 69.7% Bassano del Grappa (Veneto 2 - U04): 70.2% Villafranca di Verona (Veneto 2 - U07): 70.5% Padova (Veneto 2 - U03): 69.3% Verona (Veneto 2 - U06): 70.3% Rovigo (Veneto 2 - U01): 68.8% Vicenza (Veneto 2 - U05): 70.1% Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - U02): 71.1% Udine (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U02): 69.8% Pordenone (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U01): 69.6% Trieste (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U03): 68.0% Genova – Ponente (Liguria - U02): 68.3% La Spezia (Liguria - U04): 67.2% Savona (Liguria - U01): 63.8% Genova – Centro Est (Liguria - U03): 68.2% Ravenna (Emilia-Romagna - U08): 68.9% Modena (Emilia-Romagna - U04): 71.1% Bologna (Emilia-Romagna - U06): 71.6% Piacenza (Emilia-Romagna - U01): 70.2% Imola (Emilia-Romagna - U05): 70.7% Rimini (Emilia-Romagna - U11): 64.5% Forlì (Emilia-Romagna - U10): 69.7% Parma (Emilia-Romagna - U02): 71.0% Reggio nell'Emilia (Emilia-Romagna - U03): 70.0% Carpi (Emilia-Romagna - U07): 70.8% Ferrara (Emilia-Romagna - U09): 68.5% Firenze (Toscana - U07): 70.4% Grosseto (Toscana - U01): 67.9% Massa (Toscana - U02): 64.1% Pisa (Toscana - U04): 68.6% Scandicci (Toscana - U08): 70.6% Arezzo (Toscana - U09): 69.7% Lucca (Toscana - U03): 67.0% Prato (Toscana - U06): 70.2% Livorno (Toscana - U05): 66.3% Perugia (Umbria - U02): 67.7% Terni (Umbria - U01): 65.2% Ancona (Marche - U03): 67.7% Pesaro (Marche - U04): 68.0% Ascoli Piceno (Marche - U01): 65.4% Macerata (Marche - U02): 67.3% Roma – Municipio XI (Lazio 1 - U06): 65.3% Roma – Municipio XIV (Lazio 1 - U07): 65.3% Roma – Municipio X (Lazio 1 - U05): 65.2% Roma – Municipio I (Lazio 1 - U01): 65.3% Velletri (Lazio 1 - U08): 61.1% Roma – Municipio III (Lazio 1 - U02): 65.3% Roma – Municipio VII (Lazio 1 - U04): 65.3% Guidonia Montecelio (Lazio 1 - U09): 61.5% Roma – Municipio V (Lazio 1 - U03): 65.3% Frosinone (Lazio 2 - U04): 60.3% Viterbo (Lazio 2 - U01): 62.3% Latina (Lazio 2 - U03): 61.0% Terracina (Lazio 2 - U05): 57.7% Rieti (Lazio 2 - U02): 61.9% Pescara (Abruzzo - U02): 62.2% L'Aquila (Abruzzo - U03): 63.4% Chieti (Abruzzo - U01): 62.6% Campobasso (Molise - U01): 59.3% Torre del Greco (Campania 1 - U07): 52.3% Acerra (Campania 1 - U05): 50.8% Casoria (Campania 1 - U04): 46.1% Giugliano in Campania (Campania 1 - U01): 48.6% Napoli – San Carlo all'Arena (Campania 1 - U03): 49.1% Somma Vesuviana (Campania 1 - U06): 52.3% Napoli – Fuorigrotta (Campania 1 - U02): 49.1% Caserta (Campania 2 - U02): 54.5% Avellino (Campania 2 - U04): 56.7% Scafati (Campania 2 - U05): 54.5% Salerno (Campania 2 - U06): 56.5% Aversa (Campania 2 - U01): 49.9% Benevento (Campania 2 - U03): 56.3% Eboli (Campania 2 - U07): 54.2% Taranto (Puglia - U08): 53.0% Brindisi (Puglia - U07): 55.5% Galatina (Puglia - U10): 55.0% Foggia (Puglia - U01): 51.9% Andria (Puglia - U03): 53.0% Molfetta (Puglia - U04): 57.6% Altamura (Puglia - U06): 58.8% Lecce (Puglia - U09): 56.5% Cerignola (Puglia - U02): 49.3% Bari (Puglia - U05): 59.0% Potenza (Basilicata - U01): 57.7% Vibo Valentia (Calabria - U04): 50.2% Cosenza (Calabria - U02): 51.9% Reggio di Calabria (Calabria - U05): 52.7% Catanzaro (Calabria - U03): 53.0% Corigliano-Rossano (Calabria - U01): 49.9% Agrigento (Sicilia 1 - U05): 48.7% Marsala (Sicilia 1 - U06): 51.6% Palermo – Resuttana (Sicilia 1 - U02): 48.1% Bagheria (Sicilia 1 - U03): 48.6% Palermo – Sette Cannoli (Sicilia 1 - U01): 49.8% Gela (Sicilia 1 - U04): 49.0% Ragusa (Sicilia 2 - U01): 50.9% Messina (Sicilia 2 - U06): 53.2% Barcellona Pozzo di Gotto (Sicilia 2 - U05): 52.7% Catania (Sicilia 2 - U02): 50.7% Acireale (Sicilia 2 - U03): 50.9% Siracusa (Sicilia 2 - U04): 50.3% Carbonia (Sardegna - U02): 56.9% Nuoro (Sardegna - U03): 59.3% Cagliari (Sardegna - U01): 61.5% Sassari (Sardegna - U04): 59.9%
  • 46.1% – 54.2% (29)
  • 54.2% – 64.1% (29)
  • 64.1% – 68.2% (29)
  • 68.2% – 70.2% (29)
  • 70.2% – 75.7% (31)
One hexagon per collegio, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#CollegioEmployment rate, aged 15-64Projected
1 Bressanone/Brixen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U04) 75.7%SVP
2 Bolzano/Bozen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U03) 74.6%SVP
3 Monza (Lombardia 1 - U01) 71.6%Centre-right
4 Bologna (Emilia-Romagna - U06) 71.6%Centre-left
5 Cologno Monzese (Lombardia 1 - U03) 71.5%Centre-left
6 Milano – Loreto (Lombardia 1 - U07) 71.4%Centre-left
7 Milano – Bande Nere (Lombardia 1 - U08) 71.4%Centre-left
8 Milano – Buenos Aires (Lombardia 1 - U09) 71.4%Centre-left
9 Rovereto (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U02) 71.4%Centre-right
10 Trento (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U01) 71.2%Centre-left
11 Belluno (Veneto 1 - U05) 71.1%Centre-right
12 Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - U02) 71.1%Centre-right
13 Modena (Emilia-Romagna - U04) 71.1%Centre-left
14 Seregno (Lombardia 1 - U02) 71.0%Centre-right
15 Parma (Emilia-Romagna - U02) 71.0%Centre-left

Lowest: the bottom 15

#CollegioEmployment rate, aged 15-64Projected
147 Casoria (Campania 1 - U04) 46.1%Centre-left
146 Palermo – Resuttana (Sicilia 1 - U02) 48.1%Centre-left
145 Bagheria (Sicilia 1 - U03) 48.6%Centre-left
144 Giugliano in Campania (Campania 1 - U01) 48.6%Centre-left
143 Agrigento (Sicilia 1 - U05) 48.7%Centre-left
142 Gela (Sicilia 1 - U04) 49.0%Centre-left
141 Napoli – San Carlo all'Arena (Campania 1 - U03) 49.1%Centre-left
140 Napoli – Fuorigrotta (Campania 1 - U02) 49.1%Centre-left
139 Cerignola (Puglia - U02) 49.3%Centre-left
138 Palermo – Sette Cannoli (Sicilia 1 - U01) 49.8%Centre-left
137 Corigliano-Rossano (Calabria - U01) 49.9%Centre-left
136 Aversa (Campania 2 - U01) 49.9%Centre-left
135 Vibo Valentia (Calabria - U04) 50.2%Centre-right
134 Siracusa (Sicilia 2 - U04) 50.3%Centre-left
133 Catania (Sicilia 2 - U02) 50.7%Centre-left
Every collegio (147), highest first
#CollegioRegionEmployment rate, aged 15-64Projected
1 Bressanone/Brixen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U04) Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol75.7%SVP
2 Bolzano/Bozen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U03) Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol74.6%SVP
3 Monza (Lombardia 1 - U01) Lombardia71.6%Centre-right
4 Bologna (Emilia-Romagna - U06) Emilia-Romagna71.6%Centre-left
5 Cologno Monzese (Lombardia 1 - U03) Lombardia71.5%Centre-left
6 Milano – Loreto (Lombardia 1 - U07) Lombardia71.4%Centre-left
7 Milano – Bande Nere (Lombardia 1 - U08) Lombardia71.4%Centre-left
8 Milano – Buenos Aires (Lombardia 1 - U09) Lombardia71.4%Centre-left
9 Rovereto (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U02) Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol71.4%Centre-right
10 Trento (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U01) Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol71.2%Centre-left
11 Belluno (Veneto 1 - U05) Veneto71.1%Centre-right
12 Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - U02) Veneto71.1%Centre-right
13 Modena (Emilia-Romagna - U04) Emilia-Romagna71.1%Centre-left
14 Seregno (Lombardia 1 - U02) Lombardia71.0%Centre-right
15 Parma (Emilia-Romagna - U02) Emilia-Romagna71.0%Centre-left
16 Rozzano (Lombardia 1 - U04) Lombardia71.0%Centre-right
17 Legnano (Lombardia 1 - U05) Lombardia70.9%Centre-right
18 Sesto San Giovanni (Lombardia 1 - U06) Lombardia70.8%Centre-left
19 Carpi (Emilia-Romagna - U07) Emilia-Romagna70.8%Centre-left
20 Imola (Emilia-Romagna - U05) Emilia-Romagna70.7%Centre-left
21 Lodi (Lombardia 4 - U02) Lombardia70.7%Centre-right
22 Scandicci (Toscana - U08) Toscana70.6%Centre-left
23 Cuneo (Piemonte 2 - U05) Piemonte70.6%Centre-right
24 Villafranca di Verona (Veneto 2 - U07) Veneto70.5%Centre-right
25 Firenze (Toscana - U07) Toscana70.4%Centre-left
26 Verona (Veneto 2 - U06) Veneto70.3%Centre-right
27 Bassano del Grappa (Veneto 2 - U04) Veneto70.2%Centre-right
28 Prato (Toscana - U06) Toscana70.2%Centre-left
29 Piacenza (Emilia-Romagna - U01) Emilia-Romagna70.2%Centre-right
30 Busto Arsizio (Lombardia 2 - U02) Lombardia70.2%Centre-right
31 Brescia (Lombardia 3 - U04) Lombardia70.2%Centre-right
32 Chioggia (Veneto 1 - U02) Veneto70.1%Centre-right
33 Lecco (Lombardia 2 - U05) Lombardia70.1%Centre-right
34 Vicenza (Veneto 2 - U05) Veneto70.1%Centre-right
35 Treviso (Veneto 1 - U03) Veneto70.0%Centre-right
36 Reggio nell'Emilia (Emilia-Romagna - U03) Emilia-Romagna70.0%Centre-left
37 Mantova (Lombardia 4 - U04) Lombardia70.0%Centre-right
38 Valle d'Aosta (Valle d'Aosta - U01) Valle d'Aosta69.9%Centre-left
39 Udine (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U02) Friuli-Venezia Giulia69.8%Centre-right
40 Arezzo (Toscana - U09) Toscana69.7%Centre-left
41 Bergamo (Lombardia 3 - U02) Lombardia69.7%Centre-right
42 Asti (Piemonte 2 - U04) Piemonte69.7%Centre-right
43 Castelfranco Veneto (Veneto 1 - U04) Veneto69.7%Centre-right
44 Forlì (Emilia-Romagna - U10) Emilia-Romagna69.7%Centre-left
45 Pordenone (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U01) Friuli-Venezia Giulia69.6%Centre-right
46 Collegno (Piemonte 1 - U03) Piemonte69.6%Centre-left
47 Cremona (Lombardia 4 - U03) Lombardia69.5%Centre-right
48 Treviglio (Lombardia 3 - U01) Lombardia69.4%Centre-right
49 Padova (Veneto 2 - U03) Veneto69.3%Centre-right
50 Lumezzane (Lombardia 3 - U03) Lombardia69.2%Centre-right
51 Desenzano del Garda (Lombardia 3 - U05) Lombardia69.1%Centre-right
52 Ravenna (Emilia-Romagna - U08) Emilia-Romagna68.9%Centre-left
53 Rovigo (Veneto 2 - U01) Veneto68.8%Centre-right
54 Pisa (Toscana - U04) Toscana68.6%Centre-left
55 Ferrara (Emilia-Romagna - U09) Emilia-Romagna68.5%Centre-right
56 Chieri (Piemonte 1 - U04) Piemonte68.5%Centre-right
57 Moncalieri (Piemonte 1 - U05) Piemonte68.3%Centre-left
58 Genova – Ponente (Liguria - U02) Liguria68.3%Centre-left
59 Pavia (Lombardia 4 - U01) Lombardia68.2%Centre-right
60 Genova – Centro Est (Liguria - U03) Liguria68.2%Centre-left
61 Venezia (Veneto 1 - U01) Veneto68.2%Centre-right
62 Trieste (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U03) Friuli-Venezia Giulia68.0%Centre-left
63 Pesaro (Marche - U04) Marche68.0%Centre-left
64 Grosseto (Toscana - U01) Toscana67.9%Centre-left
65 Vercelli (Piemonte 2 - U03) Piemonte67.9%Centre-right
66 Perugia (Umbria - U02) Umbria67.7%Centre-left
67 Ancona (Marche - U03) Marche67.7%Centre-left
68 Novara (Piemonte 2 - U02) Piemonte67.5%Centre-right
69 Torino – Santa Rita (Piemonte 1 - U01) Piemonte67.4%Centre-left
70 Torino – San Paolo (Piemonte 1 - U02) Piemonte67.4%Centre-left
71 Macerata (Marche - U02) Marche67.3%Centre-right
72 Alessandria (Piemonte 2 - U01) Piemonte67.3%Centre-right
73 La Spezia (Liguria - U04) Liguria67.2%Centre-left
74 Sondrio (Lombardia 2 - U04) Lombardia67.1%Centre-right
75 Lucca (Toscana - U03) Toscana67.0%Centre-right
76 Livorno (Toscana - U05) Toscana66.3%Centre-left
77 Como (Lombardia 2 - U03) Lombardia66.1%Centre-right
78 Ascoli Piceno (Marche - U01) Marche65.4%Centre-right
79 Roma – Municipio XI (Lazio 1 - U06) Lazio65.3%Centre-left
80 Roma – Municipio I (Lazio 1 - U01) Lazio65.3%Centre-left
81 Roma – Municipio III (Lazio 1 - U02) Lazio65.3%Centre-left
82 Roma – Municipio V (Lazio 1 - U03) Lazio65.3%Centre-left
83 Roma – Municipio XIV (Lazio 1 - U07) Lazio65.3%Centre-left
84 Roma – Municipio VII (Lazio 1 - U04) Lazio65.3%Centre-left
85 Roma – Municipio X (Lazio 1 - U05) Lazio65.2%Centre-left
86 Terni (Umbria - U01) Umbria65.2%Centre-right
87 Rimini (Emilia-Romagna - U11) Emilia-Romagna64.5%Centre-left
88 Varese (Lombardia 2 - U01) Lombardia64.3%Centre-right
89 Massa (Toscana - U02) Toscana64.1%Centre-left
90 Savona (Liguria - U01) Liguria63.8%Centre-right
91 L'Aquila (Abruzzo - U03) Abruzzo63.4%Centre-right
92 Chieti (Abruzzo - U01) Abruzzo62.6%Centre-left
93 Viterbo (Lazio 2 - U01) Lazio62.3%Centre-right
94 Pescara (Abruzzo - U02) Abruzzo62.2%Centre-left
95 Rieti (Lazio 2 - U02) Lazio61.9%Centre-right
96 Cagliari (Sardegna - U01) Sardegna61.5%Centre-left
97 Guidonia Montecelio (Lazio 1 - U09) Lazio61.5%Centre-right
98 Velletri (Lazio 1 - U08) Lazio61.1%Centre-right
99 Latina (Lazio 2 - U03) Lazio61.0%Centre-right
100 Frosinone (Lazio 2 - U04) Lazio60.3%Centre-right
101 Sassari (Sardegna - U04) Sardegna59.9%Centre-left
102 Nuoro (Sardegna - U03) Sardegna59.3%Centre-left
103 Campobasso (Molise - U01) Molise59.3%Centre-left
104 Bari (Puglia - U05) Puglia59.0%Centre-left
105 Altamura (Puglia - U06) Puglia58.8%Centre-left
106 Terracina (Lazio 2 - U05) Lazio57.7%Centre-right
107 Potenza (Basilicata - U01) Basilicata57.7%Centre-left
108 Molfetta (Puglia - U04) Puglia57.6%Centre-left
109 Carbonia (Sardegna - U02) Sardegna56.9%Centre-left
110 Avellino (Campania 2 - U04) Campania56.7%Centre-left
111 Salerno (Campania 2 - U06) Campania56.5%Centre-left
112 Lecce (Puglia - U09) Puglia56.5%Centre-left
113 Benevento (Campania 2 - U03) Campania56.3%Centre-left
114 Brindisi (Puglia - U07) Puglia55.5%Centre-left
115 Galatina (Puglia - U10) Puglia55.0%Centre-left
116 Caserta (Campania 2 - U02) Campania54.5%Centre-left
117 Scafati (Campania 2 - U05) Campania54.5%Centre-left
118 Eboli (Campania 2 - U07) Campania54.2%Centre-left
119 Messina (Sicilia 2 - U06) Sicilia53.2%Centre-left
120 Andria (Puglia - U03) Puglia53.0%Centre-left
121 Catanzaro (Calabria - U03) Calabria53.0%Centre-left
122 Taranto (Puglia - U08) Puglia53.0%Centre-left
123 Reggio di Calabria (Calabria - U05) Calabria52.7%Centre-right
124 Barcellona Pozzo di Gotto (Sicilia 2 - U05) Sicilia52.7%Centre-left
125 Torre del Greco (Campania 1 - U07) Campania52.3%Centre-left
126 Somma Vesuviana (Campania 1 - U06) Campania52.3%Centre-left
127 Cosenza (Calabria - U02) Calabria51.9%Centre-left
128 Foggia (Puglia - U01) Puglia51.9%Centre-left
129 Marsala (Sicilia 1 - U06) Sicilia51.6%Centre-left
130 Acireale (Sicilia 2 - U03) Sicilia50.9%Centre-left
131 Ragusa (Sicilia 2 - U01) Sicilia50.9%Centre-left
132 Acerra (Campania 1 - U05) Campania50.8%Centre-left
133 Catania (Sicilia 2 - U02) Sicilia50.7%Centre-left
134 Siracusa (Sicilia 2 - U04) Sicilia50.3%Centre-left
135 Vibo Valentia (Calabria - U04) Calabria50.2%Centre-right
136 Aversa (Campania 2 - U01) Campania49.9%Centre-left
137 Corigliano-Rossano (Calabria - U01) Calabria49.9%Centre-left
138 Palermo – Sette Cannoli (Sicilia 1 - U01) Sicilia49.8%Centre-left
139 Cerignola (Puglia - U02) Puglia49.3%Centre-left
140 Napoli – Fuorigrotta (Campania 1 - U02) Campania49.1%Centre-left
141 Napoli – San Carlo all'Arena (Campania 1 - U03) Campania49.1%Centre-left
142 Gela (Sicilia 1 - U04) Sicilia49.0%Centre-left
143 Agrigento (Sicilia 1 - U05) Sicilia48.7%Centre-left
144 Giugliano in Campania (Campania 1 - U01) Campania48.6%Centre-left
145 Bagheria (Sicilia 1 - U03) Sicilia48.6%Centre-left
146 Palermo – Resuttana (Sicilia 1 - U02) Sicilia48.1%Centre-left
147 Casoria (Campania 1 - U04) Campania46.1%Centre-left