France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Var

Les Arcs: Marcel Florent's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Les Arcs (Var, INSEE 83004) has 6,403 registered voters. Its council has 29 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 3,928 voted, 3,848 valid votes

  1. LES ARCS PAYS D'AVENIRLed by Marcel Florent · Miscellaneous centre 47.8% · 1,839 · 22 seats
  2. LES ARCS POURSUIVONS ENSEMBLELed by Nathalie Gonzales · Miscellaneous 34.0% · 1,309 · 5 seats
  3. RASSEMBLEMENT POUR LES ARCSLed by Christian Hermet · Rassemblement National 18.2% · 700 · 2 seats

Round one, 15 March · 3,828 voted, 3,749 valid votes

  1. LES ARCS PAYS D'AVENIRMiscellaneous centre 37.4% · 1,401
  2. LES ARCS POURSUIVONS ENSEMBLEMiscellaneous 35.0% · 1,312
  3. RASSEMBLEMENT POUR LES ARCSRassemblement National 27.6% · 1,036

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Les Arcs

Les Arcs is a commune in Var with 6,403 registered voters, the 34th largest of the département's 153 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 59.8% of them voted, close to the 58% across Var, and the list led by Marcel Florent won 22 of the council's 29 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 34.4%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.7%, France Unbowed 16%. National Rally did 11 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 47.5%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 11.7%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Les Arcs from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 47.5% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.7% · France 13.4%
  3. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 11.2% · France 16.8%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.7% · France 14.3%
  5. Éric ZemmourReconquête 6.4% · France 3.8%
  6. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.9% · France 7.6%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.8% · France 2.1%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.1% · France 2.9%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.4% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 34.4% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.7% · France Unbowed 16.0% · Reconquête 11.0% · Greens 3.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Var

Every commune in Var → · All of France →