Saint-Paul-Cap-de-Joux: VIVRE ENSEMBLE A SAINT PAUL won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Saint-Paul-Cap-de-Joux (Tarn, INSEE 81266) has 833 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 833registered voters
- 55%turnout, 2026 round one
- 32.3%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 456 voted, 380 valid votes
- VIVRE ENSEMBLE A SAINT PAULNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 380 · 15 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Saint-Paul-Cap-de-Joux
Saint-Paul-Cap-de-Joux is a commune in Tarn with 833 registered voters, the 74th largest of the département's 314 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 54.7% of them voted, fewer than the 62.4% across Tarn, and VIVRE ENSEMBLE A SAINT PAUL won 15 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 24.7%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.6%, National Rally 20.3%. Others did 6 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 32.3%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 18.9%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Saint-Paul-Cap-de-Joux from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 32.3% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 18.9% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 16.7% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 11.8% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 10.5% · France 7.6%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.2% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.5% · France 2.1%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.8% · France 2.0%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.8% · France 2.9%
In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 24.7% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.6% · National Rally 20.3% · Others 9.2% · Republicans 6.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Tarn
- Castelnau-de-Montmiral834 voters · No label (small commune)
- Fontrieu846 voters · No label (small commune)
- Damiatte810 voters · No label (small commune)
- Labastide-de-Lévis860 voters · No label (small commune)
- Técou865 voters · No label (small commune)
- Rivières797 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Germain-des-Prés797 voters · No label (small commune)
- Lombers872 voters · No label (small commune)