France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Tarn

Carmaux: François Bouyssié's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Carmaux (Tarn, INSEE 81060) has 7,008 registered voters. Its council has 29 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 4,355 voted, 4,222 valid votes

  1. UNIS POUR CARMAUXLed by François Bouyssié · Union of the left 43.5% · 1,837 · 21 seats
  2. Notre priorité, Carmaux !Led by Jean-Louis Bousquet · Miscellaneous left 29.5% · 1,246 · 4 seats
  3. CARMAUX, POUR VOUS: SÉCURITÉ ET BON SENSLed by Gweenael Andrieu · Rassemblement National 27.0% · 1,139 · 4 seats

Round one, 15 March · 4,224 voted, 4,100 valid votes

  1. UNIS POUR CARMAUXUnion of the left 33.0% · 1,351
  2. CARMAUX, POUR VOUS: SÉCURITÉ ET BON SENSRassemblement National 27.3% · 1,120
  3. Notre priorité, Carmaux !Miscellaneous left 27.1% · 1,112
  4. L'archipel des idées : initiative en commun pour CarmauxMiscellaneous left 12.6% · 517

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Carmaux

Carmaux is a commune in Tarn with 7,008 registered voters, the 7th largest of the département's 314 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 60.3% of them voted, fewer than the 62.4% across Tarn, and the list led by François Bouyssié won 21 of the council's 29 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 27.2%, France Unbowed 25.7%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 19.3%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 8 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 39%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 18.5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Carmaux from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 39.0% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 18.5% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 18.1% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 9.5% · France 14.3%
  5. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 3.7% · France 2.0%
  6. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 3.6% · France 7.6%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.2% · France 3.8%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.3% · France 2.1%
  9. Marine TondelierGreens 1.7% · France 2.9%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.5% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 27.2% · France Unbowed 25.7% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 19.3% · Reconquête 6.3% · Others 5.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Tarn

Every commune in Tarn → · All of France →