Arfons: ARFONS, L'AVENIR ENSEMBLE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Arfons (Tarn, INSEE 81016) has 219 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 219registered voters
- 76%turnout, 2026 round one
- 25.3%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 166 voted, 130 valid votes
- ARFONS, L'AVENIR ENSEMBLENo label (small commune) 100.0% · 130 · 11 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
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About Arfons
Arfons is a commune in Tarn with 219 registered voters, the 201st largest of the département's 314 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 75.8% of them voted, more than the 62.4% across Tarn, and ARFONS, L'AVENIR ENSEMBLE won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 28.7%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 19.5%, National Rally 13.8%. National Rally did 10 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 25.3%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 23.7%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Arfons from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 25.3% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 23.7% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 18.5% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.9% · France 14.3%
- Marine TondelierGreens 8.1% · France 2.9%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.7% · France 7.6%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.9% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.7% · France 2.1%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 0.5% · France 2.0%
In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 28.7% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 19.5% · National Rally 13.8% · Others 10.9% · Greens 10.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Tarn
- Viviers-lès-Lavaur219 voters · No label (small commune)
- Mouzieys-Panens220 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Avit218 voters · No label (small commune)
- Le Ségur218 voters · No label (small commune)
- Aussac221 voters · No label (small commune)
- Durfort216 voters · No label (small commune)
- La Sauzière-Saint-Jean216 voters · No label (small commune)
- Caucalières223 voters · No label (small commune)