France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Tarn-et-Garonne

Espalais: Ensemble pour Espalais won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Espalais (Tarn-et-Garonne, INSEE 82054) has 276 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 185 voted, 162 valid votes

  1. Ensemble pour EspalaisNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 162 · 11 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Espalais

Espalais is a commune in Tarn-et-Garonne with 276 registered voters, the 110th largest of the département's 195 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 67% of them voted, more than the 61% across Tarn-et-Garonne, and Ensemble pour Espalais won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 33.3%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 15.2%, France Unbowed 13.8%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 12 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 47.3%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 12.5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Espalais from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 47.3% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.5% · France 13.4%
  3. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 9.9% · France 16.8%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 7.7% · France 14.3%
  5. Éric ZemmourReconquête 7.2% · France 3.8%
  6. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.8% · France 7.6%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.5% · France 2.1%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 3.4% · France 2.0%
  9. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.6% · France 0.6%
  10. Marine TondelierGreens 1.2% · France 2.9%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 33.3% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 15.2% · France Unbowed 13.8% · Reconquête 11.9% · Others 9.1%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Tarn-et-Garonne

Every commune in Tarn-et-Garonne → · All of France →