France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Seine-Saint-Denis

Aubervilliers: Sofienne Karroumi's list won the town hall in 2026; Jean-Luc Mélenchon would lead here in 2027

Aubervilliers (Seine-Saint-Denis, INSEE 93001) has 34,196 registered voters. Its council has 53 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 15,247 voted, 14,923 valid votes

  1. Uni.e.s pour faire gagner AubervilliersLed by Sofienne Karroumi · Miscellaneous left 68.6% · 10,242 · 45 seats
  2. Aubervilliers change pour vous !Led by Karine Franclet · Union of the centre 31.4% · 4,681 · 8 seats

Round one, 15 March · 14,705 voted, 14,455 valid votes

  1. Aubervilliers change pour vous !Union of the centre 26.0% · 3,760
  2. Faire gagner AubervilliersMiscellaneous left 25.6% · 3,695
  3. Reconnecter AubervilliersUnion of the left 21.5% · 3,105
  4. LA FORCE DE TOUT CHANGER À AUBERVILLIERSFrance Unbowed 20.5% · 2,957
  5. CONSTRUIRE ENSEMBLE POUR AUBERVILLIERSMiscellaneous 5.1% · 731
  6. LUTTE OUVRIERE - LE CAMPS DES TRAVAILLEURSFar left 1.4% · 207

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Aubervilliers

Aubervilliers is a commune in Seine-Saint-Denis with 34,196 registered voters, the 6th largest of the département's 39 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 43% of them voted, fewer than the 46.7% across Seine-Saint-Denis, and the list led by Sofienne Karroumi won 45 of the council's 53 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 60%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 16.4%, National Rally 9.1%. France Unbowed did 38 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Jean-Luc Mélenchon ahead on 50.1%, with Marine Le Pen on 17.9%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Aubervilliers from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 50.1% · France 16.8%
  2. Marine Le PenNational Rally 17.9% · France 34.2%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.3% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 8.7% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 4.6% · France 7.6%
  6. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.0% · France 2.0%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.0% · France 3.8%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 1.7% · France 2.9%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.0% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 60.0% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 16.4% · National Rally 9.1% · Reconquête 3.7% · Greens 2.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Seine-Saint-Denis

Every commune in Seine-Saint-Denis → · All of France →