Le Mesnil-Amelot: ENSEMBLE CONTINUONS NOTRE AVENIR won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Le Mesnil-Amelot (Seine-et-Marne, INSEE 77291) has 628 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 628registered voters
- 70%turnout, 2026 round one
- 45.6%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 437 voted, 429 valid votes
- ENSEMBLE CONTINUONS NOTRE AVENIRNo label (small commune) 65.7% · 282 · 13 seats
- UNE COMMUNE SINCERE, UN AVENIR SOLIDAIRENo label (small commune) 34.3% · 147 · 2 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Le Mesnil-Amelot
Le Mesnil-Amelot is a commune in Seine-et-Marne with 628 registered voters, the 253rd largest of the département's 506 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 69.6% of them voted, more than the 51.6% across Seine-et-Marne, and ENSEMBLE CONTINUONS NOTRE AVENIR won 13 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 33.9%, France Unbowed 28.5%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 15.6%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 12 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 45.6%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 20.1%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Le Mesnil-Amelot from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 45.6% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 20.1% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 8.7% · France 13.4%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.0% · France 7.6%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 7.5% · France 14.3%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.9% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.8% · France 2.1%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.3% · France 2.0%
- Marine TondelierGreens 0.9% · France 2.9%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 33.9% · France Unbowed 28.5% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 15.6% · Reconquête 9.2% · Republicans 5.4%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Seine-et-Marne
- Bellot627 voters · No label (small commune)
- Pécy631 voters · No label (small commune)
- Poligny632 voters · No label (small commune)
- Vaudoy-en-Brie624 voters · No label (small commune)
- Fresnes-sur-Marne633 voters · No label (small commune)
- May-en-Multien621 voters · No label (small commune)
- Soisy-Bouy621 voters · No label (small commune)
- Villiers-sous-Grez619 voters · No label (small commune)