France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Pas-de-Calais

Monchy-Breton: Vanessa Capendu's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Monchy-Breton (Pas-de-Calais, INSEE 62580) has 378 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 310 voted, 300 valid votes

  1. TOUS UNIS POUR LE RENOUVEAU DE NOTRE VILLAGELed by Vanessa Capendu · No label (small commune) 57.7% · 173 · 12 seats
  2. ENSEMBLE POUR MONCHY-BRETONLed by Linda Cauchy · No label (small commune) 42.3% · 127 · 3 seats

Round one, 15 March · 311 voted, 301 valid votes

  1. TOUS UNIS POUR LE RENOUVEAU DE NOTRE VILLAGENo label (small commune) 39.2% · 118
  2. ENSEMBLE POUR MONCHY-BRETONNo label (small commune) 35.2% · 106
  3. AGIR ENSEMBLE POUR MONCHY-BRETONNo label (small commune) 25.6% · 77

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Monchy-Breton

Monchy-Breton is a commune in Pas-de-Calais with 378 registered voters, the 451st largest of the département's 886 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 82.3% of them voted, more than the 60.3% across Pas-de-Calais, and the list led by Vanessa Capendu won 12 of the council's 15 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 32.2%, National Rally 31.2%, France Unbowed 17%. National Rally did 8 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 44.1%, with Édouard Philippe on 17%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Monchy-Breton from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 44.1% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 17.0% · France 14.3%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.8% · France 13.4%
  4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 12.1% · France 16.8%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.5% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.9% · France 3.8%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.3% · France 2.1%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.6% · France 2.0%
  9. Marine TondelierGreens 1.0% · France 2.9%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 32.2% · National Rally 31.2% · France Unbowed 17.0% · Reconquête 5.7% · Republicans 3.2%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Pas-de-Calais

Every commune in Pas-de-Calais → · All of France →