Tinchebray-Bocage: TINCHEBRAY BOCAGE À CŒUR won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Tinchebray-Bocage (Orne, INSEE 61486) has 3,547 registered voters. Its council has 33 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 3,547registered voters
- 56%turnout, 2026 round one
- 38.7%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 1,986 voted, 1,685 valid votes
- TINCHEBRAY BOCAGE À CŒURMiscellaneous right 100.0% · 1,685 · 33 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Tinchebray-Bocage
Tinchebray-Bocage is a commune in Orne with 3,547 registered voters, the 6th largest of the département's 381 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 56% of them voted, fewer than the 58.1% across Orne, and TINCHEBRAY BOCAGE À CŒUR won 33 of the council's 33 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 31.1%, National Rally 26.9%, France Unbowed 13.4%. France Unbowed did 9 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 38.7%, with Édouard Philippe on 16.2%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Tinchebray-Bocage from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 38.7% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 16.2% · France 14.3%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.3% · France 13.4%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 12.6% · France 7.6%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 9.5% · France 16.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.4% · France 2.1%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.3% · France 3.8%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.8% · France 2.9%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.2% · France 2.0%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.0% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 31.1% · National Rally 26.9% · France Unbowed 13.4% · Republicans 8.7% · Reconquête 4.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Orne
- La Ferté Macé3,640 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Athis-Val de Rouvre3,399 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Domfront en Poiraie3,256 voters · Miscellaneous
- Saint-Germain-du-Corbéis2,996 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Gouffern en Auge2,751 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Sées2,730 voters · Miscellaneous
- L'Aigle4,618 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Saint-Georges-des-Groseillers2,644 voters · No label (small commune)